OK, all you who have gulped down the all-mail ballot Kool-Aid, let's do a little comparison of rejection rates of voting by mail and voting in person in Florida across racial/ethnic groups...
In the 2018 GE, of 2.0% of blacks, 2.1% of Hispanics, and 0.9% of whites had their VBM ballots rejected. Over 32k in total.
Of those who voted in person (Election Day or Early In-Person) in 2018, 0.07% of blacks, 0.08% of Hispanics, and 0.04% of whites voted a ballot in person that was rejected. 3.2k in total
So, comparing rejection rates of VBM ballots with in-person ballot, blacks were 29x more likely, Hispanics 26x more likely, and whites were 23x more likely to have their mail ballot rejected than if they voted in person.
If we take the VBM rejection rate and apply it to those who voted in-person in 2018, it would add 68k rejected ballots, so more than 100k in total, disproportionately cast by blacks and Hispanics. Are we ready to reject 100k ballots? Are we ready to codify disenfranchisement?
Of course, this is a very simplistic take. I'm coauthoring a deeper study on the topic, which we hope to post soon.
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