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Ok, time for a long thread. Not insider info but just putting together stuff I've heard with my knowledge of football and the Redskins as a whole. Lots of credit to @JohnKeim and @RedskinsTalkPod please check out their podcasts. These are my draft predictions for 4/5/20.
1. The Redskins will most likely draft Chase Young at #2.
This is common knowledge and common sense at this point. Mind you, the Redskins are open to trade. That said it would have to be a RGIII or Ricky Williams type of trade for a team to go #2. Here's Why:
This is common knowledge and common sense at this point. Mind you, the Redskins are open to trade. That said it would have to be a RGIII or Ricky Williams type of trade for a team to go #2. Here's Why:
The value of the player gained for the team trading plays a significant role (see RGIII trade) as well as the value of a the player lost (Young) for the Redskins to trade back is significant. A pass rushing DE considered to be possibly better than the Bosas (coming from OSU)
is not something you give up for just an additional 1st.
I don't see the Dolphins trading up based on what I've heard from Miami beat reporters as the Dolphins have become more comfortable with taking a QB that is not named Tua and I just can't see as of now another team
I don't see the Dolphins trading up based on what I've heard from Miami beat reporters as the Dolphins have become more comfortable with taking a QB that is not named Tua and I just can't see as of now another team
having enough collateral to make the Redskins a good enough offer for them to pass up Young, Okudah or Simmons.
More. According to the ESPN Panthers' beat writer, Rivera historically does not trade back on 1st round picks. Now granted he had GMs during his Carolina tenure, but
More. According to the ESPN Panthers' beat writer, Rivera historically does not trade back on 1st round picks. Now granted he had GMs during his Carolina tenure, but
Rivera's teams tended not to trade back and lose a high end player to get multiple potential solid picks.
I don't have knowledge of the Redskins draft board (and they're probably laughing if they see this) but my guess is that Young>Okudah>>Simmons>> Wirfs/Thomas.
I don't have knowledge of the Redskins draft board (and they're probably laughing if they see this) but my guess is that Young>Okudah>>Simmons>> Wirfs/Thomas.
2. Trent Williams will be traded after Day 1 of the draft but probably before the start of Day 2. The key will be to see how quickly the top OTs go in the 1st. If there is a run on OTs, I have a feeling that a team who missed out on day 1 (and has cap room) will be calling.
Still think the 3 teams to keep an eye on are the Dolphins, Browns and Jets make the most sense, but there may be some other teams lurking (Something screams at me Buffalo - just a gut feeling).
I don't expect the Redskins to change their desire for 2nd round "value" for Trent. Emphasis on VALUE. @PeteHaileyNBCS compared Trent's 2nd rd value to the team wanting $20. They'll take a 20 dollar bill, a 10 and 2 fives, 2 tens, A starbucks giftcard and a 5,
but in the end they want that value for Trent whether it be multiple picks, a 2nd or a pick and a player. I think they will get it, which will benefit all parties involved frankly. That said, the 'Skins aren't going to give him away
and if it doesn't go down by this time period things will start to get interesting. Would the Redskins let him go for a 2021 2nd?
3. I'm expecting the Redskins to trade back at least once during the draft. Most likely on day 3. @TheManimalHTTR suggested the 4th round comp in one of his mocks. I'm think that myself or the 5th round.
Simple reason: Rivera wants to build his team. He'll look for depth players he can groom and hopefully a few will be able to pan out to become a starter.
Since 2017 (post Scot) the Redskins have had a slightly mixed bag of hits and misses with day 3 players.
Since 2017 (post Scot) the Redskins have had a slightly mixed bag of hits and misses with day 3 players.
Hits:
2017: Chase Roullier (6th), Josh Harvey-Clemons (7th)
2018: Tim Settle (5th), Shaun Dion Hamilton (6th)
2019: Wes Martin (4th), Cole Holcomb (5th), Jimmy Moreland (7th).
I expect Kyle Smith and co to once again find a few solid gems on day 3 and with the UDFAs.
2017: Chase Roullier (6th), Josh Harvey-Clemons (7th)
2018: Tim Settle (5th), Shaun Dion Hamilton (6th)
2019: Wes Martin (4th), Cole Holcomb (5th), Jimmy Moreland (7th).
I expect Kyle Smith and co to once again find a few solid gems on day 3 and with the UDFAs.
