1/ Here’s the most recent European mortality data, from Thursday. A couple of points: for the first time it does show a slight but notable increase in excess deaths, especially in Italy and Spain... but...

2/ It’s well below the increases of the flu epidemics of the last couple of years (and deaths in everyone below 65 are actually BELOW the historic norms)...

3/ Here’s a longer chart that captures the really nasty 2016/17 Italian epidemic (remember how we blew up society and global economy for that one? Me neither.) http://euromomo.eu