The dumbest people on Twitter are commenting at me this week that my opinions on #coronavirus are not credible because I am a cartoonist.
Your trusted experts told you face masks don’t help while I was shouting on Twitter that it was a lie. I believe I was the first public figure to do so. Who was right?
On January 24th, I publicly and loudly called for banning flights from China. Experts disagreed. Who was right?
For weeks I have been saying some face masks must me reusable when sterilized. Experts disagreed. I was right.
I was the first public figure talking about splitting ventilators. Now it is the understood backup plan.
I was talking in public about convalescent blood serum before any major news source. Now it is an important tool in the fight.
I have been saying it is “not just the flu” while half the media and plenty of experts disagreed. The consensus is agreeing with me today.
I have been saying for months that the #TrumpPills are not scientifically proven to be effective, but unless supply is limited, the risk-reward calculation says try anyway. That is now standard practice on the front line.
I’m sure I got some things wrong as well. But if you think the experts were the credible voices for coronavirus, you have not been paying attention.
On the question of how to phase back to work, I have relevant expertise. My talent stack includes a degree in economics, an MBA, decades of experience with prediction models, decision-making during uncertainty, and incorporating OTHER expert opinions in decisions.
I’m also an expert at simplifying, communicating, and persuading, which matters a lot for this topic.
I’m also an expert in creative thinking, which is useful in situations no one has ever encountered. My back-to-work ideas are brainstorming, not recommendations. Learn the difference.
As much as I enjoy bragging in public, the point here is to help you be more skeptical of experts. One way to do that is to recognize there are also experts at recognizing bullshit from other experts.
If you see your trusted experts being doubted by any of these observers, you might want to dial back your confidence: @Cernovich @JackPosobiec @balajis @naval @joelpollak @greggutfeld @TuckerCarlson to name a few.
Listen to the experts, of course. But also listen to the people who have a track record for spotting bullshit. They are experts too.
You can follow @ScottAdamsSays.
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