Here’s what I don’t get..

Why did @balajis get it right and Dr Anthony Fauci & everyone else who studies this stuff for a living get it so wrong?

Why did an amateur & his twitter friends see this before the experts? What we’re the scientists seeing or not seeing? I don’t get it

I’m not a genius. All I did was look at stuff posted on Reddit & Twitter.

Why didn’t the experts see the obvious?

My PhD friend should have been warning me, not the other way around

Has anybody seriously researched this?

The experts are smart fucking people

My friend the Public Health PhD is a very smart woman

Why did she lose a $100 bet to ME, an amateur, on the subject of a global pandemic?

I should have been the fool!

I don’t get it

This was the conversation I was having in mid-February with a Public Health PhD friend in NYC

She is my age & studies AIDS

She works at a hospital in the Bronx, not an organ of government

SHE SHOULD HAVE BEEN SMARTER THAN ME!!

This was my guidance to portfolio CEOs, circa March 10th

But I saw it coming long before this https://mattmireles.com/be-afraid/ 

This was me traveling on Feb 6th https://twitter.com/mattmireles/status/1225457072440889345?s=20

I bought masks for me & my family on January 28th

My point is not to self-congratulate, but rather to offer evidence and ask the question:

WHY did the experts not see what I & others like me were seeing? What's the mechanism of the mistake?