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NEW: Sat 4 April update of coronavirus trajectories
Daily new deaths:
• US about to go clear of Spain for most daily deaths of any country in the world
• UK on steeper trajectory than Italy, which was seen as hardest-hit country worldwide
Live charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
Daily new deaths:
• US about to go clear of Spain for most daily deaths of any country in the world
• UK on steeper trajectory than Italy, which was seen as hardest-hit country worldwide
Live charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
How does that look cumulatively?
• US death toll slope shows no signs of flattening; about to shoot straight past Italy, which was slowing by this stage
• US will likely have highest total death toll globally within a week
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
• US death toll slope shows no signs of flattening; about to shoot straight past Italy, which was slowing by this stage
• US will likely have highest total death toll globally within a week
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
Now daily new cases:
• US arcing up into the tens of thousands of confirmed cases per day; still no nationwide lockdown and Americans continue to travel
• France & Germany possibly joining Italy and Spain in seeing new cases plateau if not dip
• US arcing up into the tens of thousands of confirmed cases per day; still no nationwide lockdown and Americans continue to travel
• France & Germany possibly joining Italy and Spain in seeing new cases plateau if not dip
And cases in cumulative form:
• US stretching my chart limits again; will extend y-axis to 500k tomorrow
• Australia a rare example of an Anglophone country on a gentle trajectory
• Brazil tracking UK
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• US stretching my chart limits again; will extend y-axis to 500k tomorrow
• Australia a rare example of an Anglophone country on a gentle trajectory
• Brazil tracking UK
" title="And cases in cumulative form:• US stretching my chart limits again; will extend y-axis to 500k tomorrow• Australia a rare example of an Anglophone country on a gentle trajectory• Brazil tracking UK https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚠️" title="Warning sign" aria-label="Emoji: Warning sign">" class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>
Now subnational region daily deaths:
• New Jersey heading toward NY as the US’ urban north-east emerges as the new global epicentre
• In the UK, London and the Midlands now both on more daily deaths than Wuhan recorded at same stage
• New Jersey heading toward NY as the US’ urban north-east emerges as the new global epicentre
• In the UK, London and the Midlands now both on more daily deaths than Wuhan recorded at same stage
Subnational death tolls cumulatively:
• Like the US at large, NY is really in uncharted territory here, death toll marching into the thousands
• New Jersey ramping up onto Lombardy’s trajectory. More than 8,000 died there.
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
• Like the US at large, NY is really in uncharted territory here, death toll marching into the thousands
• New Jersey ramping up onto Lombardy’s trajectory. More than 8,000 died there.
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
Our newest chart: small multiples of daily deaths in subnational regions (same country colours as in national charts):
• California added. Following a similar path to Veneto in Italy
• London’s death toll rising faster than Wuhan’s did
• Bavaria Germany’s hardest-hit region
• California added. Following a similar path to Veneto in Italy
• London’s death toll rising faster than Wuhan’s did
• Bavaria Germany’s hardest-hit region
Small multiples for daily new deaths:
• Belgium tracking Italyhttps://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚠️" title="Warning sign" aria-label="Emoji: Warning sign">
• Portugal may be coming down off its steep path
• Switzerland & Sweden tracking Chinahttps://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚠️" title="Warning sign" aria-label="Emoji: Warning sign">
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
• Belgium tracking Italy
• Portugal may be coming down off its steep path
• Switzerland & Sweden tracking China
All charts: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
• Portugal may be coming down off its steep path• Switzerland & Sweden tracking China https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚠️" title="Warning sign" aria-label="Emoji: Warning sign">All charts: https://ft.com/coronavir..." title="Small multiples for daily new deaths:• Belgium tracking Italy https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚠️" title="Warning sign" aria-label="Emoji: Warning sign"> • Portugal may be coming down off its steep path• Switzerland & Sweden tracking China https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚠️" title="Warning sign" aria-label="Emoji: Warning sign">All charts: https://ft.com/coronavir..." class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>
Finally, small multiples for daily cases:
• Sweden v Norway is instructive. Norway locked down & new cases are falling, Sweden didn’t & each day brings more new infections
• Japan’s outbreak continues
Live versions of all charts here: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
• Sweden v Norway is instructive. Norway locked down & new cases are falling, Sweden didn’t & each day brings more new infections
• Japan’s outbreak continues
Live versions of all charts here: http://ft.com/coronavirus-latest">https://ft.com/coronavir...
Things to note:
• The data is noisy & subject to all sorts of tricky caveats
• e.g most countries reporting deaths in hospital. Many deaths occur in nursing homes etc; we hope to add these in future
• Point being: watch for general trends. Focus on slopes, not specific numbers
• The data is noisy & subject to all sorts of tricky caveats
• e.g most countries reporting deaths in hospital. Many deaths occur in nursing homes etc; we hope to add these in future
• Point being: watch for general trends. Focus on slopes, not specific numbers
Here’s a video where I explain why we’re using log scales, showing absolute numbers instead of per capita, and much more: https://twitter.com/janinegibson/status/1244519429825802240">https://twitter.com/janinegib...
And a chart showing why we& #39;re using absolute numbers rather than population-adjusted rates: https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1244380095164420101">https://twitter.com/jburnmurd...
Analysis of Chinese movie box office revenues shows that lockdowns won’t be lifted overnight, and life may take many months to return to normal.
Restrictions will be released bit by bit, only to be reinstated wholly or in part as infections pick up again https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1246135176461254657">https://twitter.com/jburnmurd...
Restrictions will be released bit by bit, only to be reinstated wholly or in part as infections pick up again https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1246135176461254657">https://twitter.com/jburnmurd...
And @google data shows that people in the US are still out and about much more than their counterparts in several European countries: https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1246123616040779776">https://twitter.com/jburnmurd...
Please email coronavirus-data@ft.com with feedback, requests & subnational data.
All of these are invaluable, and we continue to incorporate your suggestions and data every day.
We’ll keep getting back to as many people as possible.
Enjoy your socially-distant weekends, folks!
All of these are invaluable, and we continue to incorporate your suggestions and data every day.
We’ll keep getting back to as many people as possible.
Enjoy your socially-distant weekends, folks!
And tonight& #39;s post-chart food: homemade beef dumplings
