between the singapore second wave and the confirmation of many if not most cases fully asymptomatic, we really need to start testing random healthy people in hotspots for antibodies

because right now it really feels like this thing is reasonable to slow but impossible to contain and actually far more widespread than we assume

which if true would mean we can't undo the lockdowns with red zone/green zone strat. paradoxically trying it would make the lockdowns far worse as people panic and extend them because of resurgences

and the actual way out would be to certify the immune and sequester the vulnerable. but with no testing capacity to confirm this, still, after literally months, it's impossible to say for sure

the two magic indicators to watch for a few weeks from now tho are:
* does sweden bend the curve despite no lockdown
* does new york bend the curve despite no increase in govt competence