New preprint (link forthcoming) led by Mark Siedner, @harlingg, @drdrtsai on impact of social distancing in U.S. Punchline - had all states adopted early, after 14 days the number of infections nationally would have been reduced by 60K (156,360 without --> 88,105 with).
@drdrtsai has a great thread on approach/nuances here: https://twitter.com/drdrtsai/status/1246175938024476672