NEW: Our latest blog on the scattershot approach to stay-at-home orders and what it might mean for public health, w/ @joshmich and #jentolbert
https://www.kff.org/coronavirus-policy-watch/stay-at-home-orders-to-fight-covid19/">https://www.kff.org/coronavir...
Some jurisdictions got out ahead (and may be seeing some success). But with conflicting messages from the federal government and a lack of clear guidelines, states have not been on the same page.
The White House& #39;s recent announcement that federal social distancing guidelines would be extended thru at least 4/30, acknowledging that the outbreak is significantly worse than previously suggested, has led to several more states issuing orders (there are still holdouts)
It& #39;s still too early to know whether early adopters will see better outcomes in the long-run, or whether differential implementation will affect the success of all communities as the virus may continue to spread across geographic borders it doesn’t recognize.
At the very least, this scattershot approach can result in ongoing transmission in one state or community, even as transmission is interrupted in a neighboring area. This could extend the period of spread for the U.S. overall and prolong the need for social distancing.
Ultimately, we are engaged in a “natural experiment” of differing approaches to the epidemic on a massive scale, and we are likely to see over the coming weeks what the consequences of that will be.
You can follow @jenkatesdc.
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