The @IHME_UW model vs. reality for New York State, April 4: more of the same, 65,400 beds projected, 15,905 actually used (new hospitalizations fell notably day-over-day); 12,000 ICU beds projected, 4,100 used. Still basically fiction, but at least it’s not getting MORE wrong.
Reminder: this model and its friend from @imperialcollege are two of the main reasons that schools are closed, the economy is in free fall, and people who go outside to paddleboard are being arrested (!).