Corona epidemic is hitting 🇷🇺as well. What are effects of the announced one-month shutdown. My colleagues Heli Simola& @LSolanko investigate 1/
https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Corona epidemic is hitting as well. What are effects of the announced one-month shutdown. My colleagues Heli Simola& @LSolanko investigate 1/ https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Corona epidemic is hitting as well. What are effects of the announced one-month shutdown. My colleagues Heli Simola& @LSolanko investigate 1/ https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Corona epidemic is hitting as well. What are effects of the announced one-month shutdown. My colleagues Heli Simola& @LSolanko investigate 1/ https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Looking at Russia’s GDP composition, they conclude (with some assumptions, of course) that ~23% of GDP would be shut down. If the shutdown would last for 3 months, mechanically calculated GDP drop would be 4.5%. 2/
https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Looking at Russia’s GDP composition, they conclude (with some assumptions, of course) that ~23% of GDP would be shut down. If the shutdown would last for 3 months, mechanically calculated GDP drop would be 4.5%. 2/ https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Looking at Russia’s GDP composition, they conclude (with some assumptions, of course) that ~23% of GDP would be shut down. If the shutdown would last for 3 months, mechanically calculated GDP drop would be 4.5%. 2/ https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Looking at Russia’s GDP composition, they conclude (with some assumptions, of course) that ~23% of GDP would be shut down. If the shutdown would last for 3 months, mechanically calculated GDP drop would be 4.5%. 2/ https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Looking at Russia’s GDP composition, they conclude (with some assumptions, of course) that ~23% of GDP would be shut down. If the shutdown would last for 3 months, mechanically calculated GDP drop would be 4.5%. 2/ https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
However, #Russia is not an island. It is actually very vulnerable to similar shutdowns in other countries. If Russia’s export partners enact shutdowns, Russia’s GDP drop should be multiplied by 1.3. (🇩🇪and🇫🇮 are almost as vulnerable.) 3/
https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
However, #Russia is not an island. It is actually very vulnerable to similar shutdowns in other countries. If Russia’s export partners enact shutdowns, Russia’s GDP drop should be multiplied by 1.3. (and are almost as vulnerable.) 3/ https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
However, #Russia is not an island. It is actually very vulnerable to similar shutdowns in other countries. If Russia’s export partners enact shutdowns, Russia’s GDP drop should be multiplied by 1.3. (and are almost as vulnerable.) 3/ https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
However, #Russia is not an island. It is actually very vulnerable to similar shutdowns in other countries. If Russia’s export partners enact shutdowns, Russia’s GDP drop should be multiplied by 1.3. (and are almost as vulnerable.) 3/ https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
On top of this, the price of oil has collapsed and capital outflows are up. Both of these factors will magnify negative effects of corona epidemic. (And are to large extent caused by it.) Difficult times ahead.🇷🇺
@BOFITresearch
https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
4/ ends
On top of this, the price of oil has collapsed and capital outflows are up. Both of these factors will magnify negative effects of corona epidemic. (And are to large extent caused by it.) Difficult times ahead. @BOFITresearch https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y4/ ends
On top of this, the price of oil has collapsed and capital outflows are up. Both of these factors will magnify negative effects of corona epidemic. (And are to large extent caused by it.) Difficult times ahead. @BOFITresearch https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y4/ ends
On top of this, the price of oil has collapsed and capital outflows are up. Both of these factors will magnify negative effects of corona epidemic. (And are to large extent caused by it.) Difficult times ahead. @BOFITresearch https://helda.helsinki.fi/bof/bitstream/handle/123456789/16994/bpb0620.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y4/ ends
You can follow @IikkaKorhonen.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled:
There are a lot of misconceptions about the Turkish diaspora in Germany. Since i just finished writing an essay about this topic I thought it's time to give other people
Read more
Las mejores calculadoras online en 2020A thread http://totumat.com/2020/11/26/las-mejores-calculadoras-online-en-2020/ Cuando se estudian asignaturas que requieren de cálculos complicados, nada mejor que contar con una buena calculadora.
Read more
Mitigating #ClimateChange is as much about taking up new techs as about leaving others behindMost studies focus on #coal's global downfall but another #energy tech decline is loomingRead my new
Read more