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Mortality and use of care due to coronavirus in Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Finland, Iceland and Estonia; updated with data from yesterdays (2.4) reports. Read the whole thread. (English version)
Fig 1(6). Mortality per million population: /1
Fig 1(6). Mortality per million population: /1
Fig 2. Mortality per million population on log-scale, and after 10th death. Same data as fig 1, but y-axis helps to understand rate of change, and time-scale unified. /2
Fig 3. Absolute number of deaths since 10th death in the country.
(Attempts to get same starting point/phase of the epidemic for all countries. Not sure how well this actually works): /3
(Attempts to get same starting point/phase of the epidemic for all countries. Not sure how well this actually works): /3
Fig 4 (new): Number of persons in hospital care per day. One person can be counted for several days. A measurement on the burden on hospital capacity. /4
Fig 5. (new): Number of persons in intensive care per day. One person can be counted for several days. Measures the burden on intensive care capacity. /5
Fig 6(6). Number of patients in intensive care, cumulative since 10th patient. Only Sweden is now reporting the data needed for this. /6
Fig 4 an 5; number of persons in treatment per day; Norway and Denmark (and Estonia?) are actually levelling off? Permanently? What is the role of age differences in patients between the countries? /7
IMPORTANT: Mortality data for Sweden has been updated by FHM, and this makes a difference. Swe is still clearly higher than the rest, but the rate of increase was exaggerated for later timepoints. The updated data can be found: https://www.folkhalsomyndigheten.se/smittskydd-beredskap/utbrott/aktuella-utbrott/covid-19/bekraftade-fall-i-sverige/ /8
All international databases seem to have wrong data for Sweden. The new data fits better with the idea that older patients in Swe behind the higher mortality. /9
Mean age those diagnosed:
S=46, R=60, N=48, T=(52-58?), Is=(43), E=52
and hospitalised:
S=??, R=67, N=61, T=65, Is=??, E??
(happy if these number can be checked/verified; crude estimates) /10
S=46, R=60, N=48, T=(52-58?), Is=(43), E=52
and hospitalised:
S=??, R=67, N=61, T=65, Is=??, E??
(happy if these number can be checked/verified; crude estimates) /10
Any comments and suggestions welcome (data gets better if it is used).
Next update on Monday. 11/11
Next update on Monday. 11/11
Ps. thanks @f98froh and @KennethBodin pointing out the issues with the swedish mortality data. If I understood correctly, these issues have been discussed in Sweden by the authorities.
