For my NC peeps:
@unseen1_unseen
@RMachArts
@mayagourds
@KingBroly
@sobx_don

Update no.4

3 new deaths, 19 total; .9% rate

Hospital numbers up:

184 to now 259

~ 41% increase

Still beating the forecast by miles (knock on wood).

1st screenshot is the update
2nd is forecast
For maphs:

April 15th = 500 deaths per forecast

We would need to avg 40 deaths/day to meet.

Last 3 day moving avg for deaths: approx 3.67

9.175% in line with the forecast currently.

The tell tell sign will be the hospital numbers which means greater chance of serious cases.
Not saying, but the change in derviative is speaking volumes when talking about trends if the numbers are true.

@OBgynFl
@sethjlevy
@doctorcherokee
*Updated forcast*
2537 is now 1534

This is drastic! Roughly 40% reduction

@Cara_TXZEAL
For a state that is 10th in pop size, we are killing it!

If you take pop density in consideration, we are still exceeding expectations.

I need to do a stats analysis once finished.
You can follow @SempOfWar.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled: