Seeing a lot of “no one could have known” about covid19. We saw it happening in January. Mass deaths in China, then deaths in many other countries in early February. We knew it was in the US by end of Jan. While details and data were hazy, we had a global pandemic by Feb1.
2/ no crystal ball was needed, no complex data analysis. Just following the most basic global news and ignoring the political spin. That’s it. If you didn’t realize this was at least a serious threat by Feb1, re-evaluate how you’re sourcing and evaluating information.
3/ if you’re an investor, a trader, or really just a human, the ability to identify reality is a core skill. To sift through the politicized nonsense and self-serving narratives. Being able to look at incomplete data and draw reasonable conclusions is a critically valuable skill.
4/ for journalists - we’re all human. We make mistakes. Own it and do better next time. Accurately reporting in the face of spin is your job. Do better.
You can follow @AriDavidPaul.
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