Read on Twitter
The European Union makes available on its Open Data portal up-to-date statistics regarding the number of cases and fatalities by country attributed to COVID-19:
https://data.europa.eu/euodp/en/data/dataset/covid-19-coronavirus-data/resource/55e8f966-d5c8-438e-85bc-c7a5a26f4863
https://data.europa.eu/euodp/en/data/dataset/covid-19-coronavirus-data/resource/55e8f966-d5c8-438e-85bc-c7a5a26f4863
The COVID-19 stats in Canada follow an exponential pattern. The daily rates of growth inferred from this data range fairly widely, but are all positive--that is, both daily cases and daily deaths continue to increase.
Because reporting can vary over the week, a 7-day moving average--shown here as a dotted line--can convey trends more effectively. Cases over the past week have increased at a daily rate of 16 percent; deaths at 20 percent. Both trends appear reasonably steady.
The growth rate must turn negative before the daily cases and deaths begin to fall. There's no indication in the data that will happen soon; however, the slight fall at the end of the moving average of cases might indicate that isolation measures are proving fruitful.
If there's a point to this thread, it's this: I'm thinking of all of you. We're in this for the long haul, and we're in this together.
