. @MayorBowser's daily coronavirus briefing has started. Follow along for updates. Some members of the D.C. Council are there in person ( @ChmnMendelson, @VinceGrayWard7), while others are joining via video.
Bowser says she's giving Council members a "situational update" on the pandemic. She reminds everyone that the first coronavirus case in D.C. was detected on March 7.
Bowser says D.C. received 7,600 applications from businesses, non-profits and self-employed residents for grants from a $25 million fund. That's... a lot. It won't be split evenly among them all, though.
"The nation's capital region is what should drive our interaction with the federal government around our needs," says Bowser. (Hogan and Northam have joined her in asking the feds for more help to keep the nation's capital up and running.)
Bowser says there's nothing noteworthy in the ward-by-ward breakdown of positive cases. And she says testing has ramped up from 300 per 1 million to 4,000 per 1 million. The drive-thru site at UMC opens today, but it's not for general public use at this point.
Bowser says some modeling overestimates the value of social distancing, and thus underestimates how widespread the coronavirus may be. "We model that approximately 93,000 people in our city could get infected with COVID-19," she says.
Here's the graph Bowser is using to show infections. And she says there could be 220 people could die on the optimistic side, or more than 1,000 on the severe side.
Bowser says D.C.'s peak in infections could come at the end of June or start of July.
At peak, D.C. will need some 5,600 hospital beds. On a normal day, it has roughly 2,500. Bowser says elective surgeries will be delayed, shuttered facilities will be opened, sites outside of hospitals will be found, etc., to find additional bed space.
"If you're feeling ill, stay home. Isolate yourself," says Bowser.
So there's many questions coming about why D.C. has chosen a model that is significantly more severe than one that has been widely circulated which has the city's peak in mid-April and fewer deaths. In short, city officials say it overestimates the value of social distancing.
"I don’t think what we’ve seen suggests we’ll open schools on April 27," says Bowser. "I can say we’re not going to open on April 27."
Bowser clarifies that the 93k number of coronavirus infections is throughout the pandemic, not during the expected peak in late June or early July.
You can follow @maustermuhle.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled: