1/ Case-study #1 in politics masquerading as #medicine.
sciolism: superficial knowledge.
scientism: appealing to 'science' in an invalid way.
dishonesty: you know already.
Tom Jefferson & Carl Heneghan, "Covid-19 – The tipping point?":
https://www.cebm.net/2020/03/covid-19-the-tipping-point
Let's go thru it.
sciolism: superficial knowledge.
scientism: appealing to 'science' in an invalid way.
dishonesty: you know already.
Tom Jefferson & Carl Heneghan, "Covid-19 – The tipping point?":
https://www.cebm.net/2020/03/covid-19-the-tipping-point
Let's go thru it.
2/ Their article starts off with an insipid truism hiding some deception (and an implicit disavowal of #testing) already. We already can *guess* #COVID19 is wide-spread — in NORTHERN Italy (and the distinction is very important) — just from the death-rate there.
3/ Now, Jefferson & Heneghan explicity mention Vò, in particular (Cinto) Euganeo. So let's see what Italian doctors in Vò (Cinto) Euganeo say THEMSELVES. Oh, *look*, they're saying *mass*-testing (& lockdown) is what's stopping the #COVID19 epidemic there. https://www.newsweek.com/coronavirus-mass-testing-experiment-italian-town-covid-19-outbreak-1493183
4/ Italian scientists say themselves they're only able to stop the #COVID19 epidemic by *mass*-testing, including everyone showing zero symptoms (asymptomatic), plus the lockdown there.
For some **odd** reason, Jefferson & Heneghan never mention that.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/18/scientists-say-mass-tests-in-italian-town-have-halted-covid-19
For some **odd** reason, Jefferson & Heneghan never mention that.

5/ But Jefferson & Heneghan never mention all of that *very* relevant stuff, & simply keep going as though they've made some major point (they haven't), then leap to the conclusion they want to preach. Note they don't bother with evidence — for or against — at all on this part.
6/ There are already studies on how lockdowns or partial quarantines could affect us all economically, AS WELL AS studies how the unchecked spread of #COVID19 could harm the economy very badly.
Jefferson & Heneghan don't mention any of them. Not one.
https://twitter.com/Gurdur/status/1246090550861869058
Jefferson & Heneghan don't mention any of them. Not one.

7/ Nor do Jefferson & Heneghan mention at all the *reasons* for mass-testing & lockdowns in *northern* Italy & in southern Italy — it's to stop the #COVID19 epidemic affecting southern Italy as badly, *where it isn't anywhere near as widely spread yet*. https://twitter.com/Gurdur/status/1246084578869227520
8/ Now we come to the pièce de résistance, the icing on the cake, where Jefferson & Heneghan pretend to care about elderly people. It's sheer dishonesty, backed up with a citation [6] which most of you can't view. They're crap at citing, as well.
9/ NO, contra Jefferson & Heneghan, the clearest message coming from Italy is:
if you let your hospital system get over-run, people die. Systems fail, people die.
AND: if you let #COVID19 run rampant, many people will die — unnecessarily. Whether at home or in hospital.
if you let your hospital system get over-run, people die. Systems fail, people die.
AND: if you let #COVID19 run rampant, many people will die — unnecessarily. Whether at home or in hospital.
10/ NO, contra Jefferson & Heneghan, the clearest message coming from Italy is that mass-testing and quarantines can effectively halt the #COVID epidemic. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/18/scientists-say-mass-tests-in-italian-town-have-halted-covid-19