#CoronavirusLockdownUK #coronavirus Coronavirus: Remedy is Worse than the Cause...?

There's two extreme options in the UK with coronavirus:

1. Take no action: 500,000 people could have died by August
2. Current full lockdown: hoping to limit deaths to 20,000

UT Option 2 does not mean 480,000 lives being saved, many will die whether or not they get the virus. Every year, about 600,000 people in the UK will die anyway. There is believed to be "a substantial overlap", which has been suggested could be up to 2/3.

So, 320,000 would have died anyway during the year. Leaving 160,000 lives being "saved" ( I guess many of those quite possibly would have died following couple of years anyway). I think it's fair to say the overall loss equates to no more than say one million 'years of life'.

Obviously, the NHS would be overwhelmed so harsh strategy would be necessary to cope.

BIG downside of Option 2 is impact on society and economy: unemployment & reduced living standards, mental health problems & suicides, and heart problems from lack of activity.

University of Bristol researchers say the benefit of a long-term lockdown in reducing premature deaths could be outweighed by the lost life expectancy for a prolonged economic trip. If there is a 6.4% decline in the size of the economy (as what happened following 2008 financial

crash). It would see a loss of 3 months of life on average across population due to factors from declining living standards to poorer health care.

So, current lock down equates to a loss of 16 million years of life, compared to just 1 million above. #CoronaCrisisuk