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Folks seem interested, and at @AlexCEngler's suggestion, starting a thread tracking Census national response rates from https://www.censushardtocountmaps2020.us/ . Thus far:
3/29: 33.1%
3/30: 34.7%
3/31: 36.2%
4/1: 38.4%
4/2: 41.3%
Goal: ~67% (from 2000/2010) 1/
3/29: 33.1%
3/30: 34.7%
3/31: 36.2%
4/1: 38.4%
4/2: 41.3%
Goal: ~67% (from 2000/2010) 1/
For those interested in all historical data from https://2020census.gov/en/response-rates.html. Dates are "as of" (i.e., represents the day before):
3/20: 14.1%
3/21: 16.7%
3/22: 19.2%
3/23: 21.0%
3/24: 23.6%
3/25: 26.2%
3/26: 28.1%
3/27: 30.2%
3/28: 31.6%
3/20: 14.1%
3/21: 16.7%
3/22: 19.2%
3/23: 21.0%
3/24: 23.6%
3/25: 26.2%
3/26: 28.1%
3/27: 30.2%
3/28: 31.6%
Note: Per @dianabelliott Census' operational plan is shooting for a more modest 60.5% for 2020, lower than the 2000/2010 ~67% rate.
For context, here are the 2010 vs. 2020 numbers:
3/29: 42.9 / 33.1
3/30: 46.5 / 34.7
3/31: 47.3 / 36.2
4/1: 49.0 / 38.4
4/2: 50.7 / 41.3
For context, here are the 2010 vs. 2020 numbers:
3/29: 42.9 / 33.1
3/30: 46.5 / 34.7
3/31: 47.3 / 36.2
4/1: 49.0 / 38.4
4/2: 50.7 / 41.3
h/t to @SR_spatial for the 2010 data in Excel form from https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/library/publications/2012/dec/2010_cpex_198.pdf (Appendix H) and fellow CUNY folks for the great site https://www.censushardtocountmaps2020.us/ .
Updating response rates for the weekend:
4/3: 42.8%
4/4: 43.9%
4/5: 44.5%
4/3: 42.8%
4/4: 43.9%
4/5: 44.5%
Census' goal is 60.5% response rate, and lower bound goal is 55.5%. If response rate pace is similar to 2010 (caveat: many reasons to believe this year is very different), then we're approximately on track for the lower bound right now.
Keep up those efforts folks!
Keep up those efforts folks!
If you have questions about the response rate data, the Center for Urban Research has you covered: https://gc.cuny.edu/Page-Elements/Academics-Research-Centers-Initiatives/Centers-and-Institutes/Center-for-Urban-Research/CUR-research-initiatives/Census-2020-Self-Response-Data-Questions-and-Answers.
Including great advice on how to interpret comparisons between 2010 and 2020 and why this year is very different - that trend line could be way off!
Including great advice on how to interpret comparisons between 2010 and 2020 and why this year is very different - that trend line could be way off!
Response rate now up 0.6 percentage points to 45.7%.
Hopefully the rate increases as it did in the 2018 end to end test , but if it increases at the rate of the 2010 census (warning: comparing two very different things!), we're on pace to be below lower bound goal.
Hopefully the rate increases as it did in the 2018 end to end test , but if it increases at the rate of the 2010 census (warning: comparing two very different things!), we're on pace to be below lower bound goal.
Check out this thread for a more optimistic (and I hope correct!) view based on the 2018 test. The next few weeks will be telling. Keep up the great work folks. https://twitter.com/EconAndrew/status/1248308629155065857
