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Happening at noon: Matthew Anderson, President and CEO of Ontario Health, Adalsteinn Brown, Dean of @UofT_dlsph and Dr. Peter Donnelly, President and CEO of @PublicHealthON, will hold a Queen’s Park media briefing on #COVID19 provincial modelling. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-covid-projections-1.5519575
All eyes will be on Queen's Park at noon for a release of the province's #COVID19 projects.
In the meantime, the inimitable @CBCQueensPark has some insight on what we'll be hearing: https://twitter.com/CBCQueensPark/status/1246089977060044806?s=20
In the meantime, the inimitable @CBCQueensPark has some insight on what we'll be hearing: https://twitter.com/CBCQueensPark/status/1246089977060044806?s=20
I'm among the @CBCNews team members who will be following the updates from Queen's Park today. If you're a front-line healthcare worker who wants to share thoughts on what it all means for staff and patients, my DMs are open.
LIVE NOW: Ontario to release 'stark' COVID-19 projections, expected to show stricter measures needed https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/ontario-covid-projections-1.5519575
BREAKING: 100,000 Ontario deaths projected over course of #COVID19 pandemic *without* public health measures in place, say provincial health officials.
3,000 to 15,000 deaths expected if public health measures are used.
3,000 to 15,000 deaths expected if public health measures are used.
That slide was referring to the entire course of the pandemic, which officials say could last 18 months or even 2 years.
"Had we done nothing, Ontario may have suffered 100,000 deaths," says Dr. Peter Donnelly of @PublicHealthON. "Thankfully, that is not the position we are in."
"Had we done nothing, Ontario may have suffered 100,000 deaths," says Dr. Peter Donnelly of @PublicHealthON. "Thankfully, that is not the position we are in."
Ontario health officials are expecting 1,600 #COVID19 deaths in April alone if current intervention measures are kept up.
That death toll could shoot up to as high as 6,000, meaning 4,400 deaths are being prevented by ongoing efforts, the province's modelling suggests:
That death toll could shoot up to as high as 6,000, meaning 4,400 deaths are being prevented by ongoing efforts, the province's modelling suggests:
This is important: Provincial modelling suggests even the *best case scenario* for #COVID19 cases would surge beyond our current Ontario ICU capacity. We would be covered by 900 additional planned ICU beds.
The worst case scenario — overwhelming the system — is shown in red:
The worst case scenario — overwhelming the system — is shown in red:
Saint Michael ( @CBCQueensPark) has shared the full slide deck so many of you are looking for: https://twitter.com/CBCQueensPark/status/1246120832713347074?s=20
Here is how Ontario is faring in terms of the cumulative #COVID19 case count compared to other areas, according to provincial health officials. Note how British Columbia's line is starting to flatten compared to Ontario's.
NEW: Here are the additional public health measures provincial officials are exploring to handle the spread of #COVID19. Includes reducing the number of essential workplaces, enforcement & fines, enhancing support for vulnerable people like elderly, homeless.
WATCH: Dr. Peter Donnelly from @PublicHealthON outlines Ontario projections on thousands of deaths expected across province amid the #COVID19 pandemic. Public health measures could reduce death toll to somewhere between 3,000 and 15,000.
"Where we end up depends on all of us."
"Where we end up depends on all of us."
