Read on Twitter
+UPDATE+
German media now discussing research from their Coronavirus experience that *suggests* virus spreads far more in mass gatherings than previously thought..but less in places like shops or via surfaces.
NB: it still spreads in all - but relative dangers being studied.
German media now discussing research from their Coronavirus experience that *suggests* virus spreads far more in mass gatherings than previously thought..but less in places like shops or via surfaces.
NB: it still spreads in all - but relative dangers being studied.
2/
This suggests relative weight of people:
1. Density
2. Proximity
3. Numbers
Far more important than initially thought.
If true this greatly influences our “exit strategies” on Coronavirus ie. no immediate return to mass public transport or mass sport/cultural events etc.
This suggests relative weight of people:
1. Density
2. Proximity
3. Numbers
Far more important than initially thought.
If true this greatly influences our “exit strategies” on Coronavirus ie. no immediate return to mass public transport or mass sport/cultural events etc.
3/
This has many other implications:
It suggests that lockdowns could be actually far more successful than previous hopes BUT that various pre lockdown practices should be delayed as long as possible - potentially till 2021.
Note this is based on current German thinking.
This has many other implications:
It suggests that lockdowns could be actually far more successful than previous hopes BUT that various pre lockdown practices should be delayed as long as possible - potentially till 2021.
Note this is based on current German thinking.
4/
In other words - societies need to think about not just shortterm containment of virus but on changing medium term practices.
If this research holds up expect to see incentivising home working + slower phased return to public events than previously thought over next 2 years.
In other words - societies need to think about not just shortterm containment of virus but on changing medium term practices.
If this research holds up expect to see incentivising home working + slower phased return to public events than previously thought over next 2 years.
5/
This research also seems to confirm why London has remained so far ahead of rest of the UK in Coronavirus cases.
It’s the one place where human density, numbers & proximity could not be mitigated so easily by individual actions until the lockdown.
Same applies to New York.
This research also seems to confirm why London has remained so far ahead of rest of the UK in Coronavirus cases.
It’s the one place where human density, numbers & proximity could not be mitigated so easily by individual actions until the lockdown.
Same applies to New York.
