The Ministry of Health has just updated weekly mortality estimates in Italy for the week 18-24 March. Sadly, but expectedly as I tweeted a few days ago, the curves are skyrocketing and it's not over yet. Full report here: http://www.salute.gov.it/portale/caldo/SISMG_sintesi_ULTIMO.pdf

The above charts refer only to Northern Italy. These numbers are not comparable to any past flu season. Before jumping to conclusions, take a closer look at the chart below: it's updated to the week 4 of 2020, which means January. Data is still missing.

The situation in the Center and the South of Italy looks much better and the only reason why mortality has not jumped to historical records there is the lockdown.

another important thread on estimating the effects of COVID-19 related mortality can be read here: https://twitter.com/FabbioSabatini/status/1245993198142488576