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A few quotes: "Leading disease forecasters (...) were mystified when they saw the administration’s projection this week."
Experts and Trump’s advisers doubt White House’s 240,000 coronavirus deaths estimate https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/04/02/experts-trumps-advisers-doubt-white-houses-240000-coronavirus-deaths-estimate/
Experts and Trump’s advisers doubt White House’s 240,000 coronavirus deaths estimate https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2020/04/02/experts-trumps-advisers-doubt-white-houses-240000-coronavirus-deaths-estimate/
2/ Among the people cited as being baffled by the administration's model: Fauci, the head of the CDC, Pence's office, and a lot of people who construct epidemiological models for a living.
They have a number of concerns.
They have a number of concerns.
3/ The administration apparently has not provided the assumptions underlying the model, the data used to generate it, or any explanation of how the model works.
4/ "Among epidemiologists, the estimate raised more questions than it answered — not just about methodology and accuracy but, perhaps more importantly, about purpose."
5/ "A White House representative said the task force has not publicly released the models it drew from out of respect for the confidentiality of the modelers, many of whom approached the White House unsolicited and simply want to continue their work without publicity."
