This will be a #CoV19 Thread. Much of the info you have seen, some of it is my own math projections. The one thing I wanted to share to Twitter is ER Advice from a Dr in NOLA that I have only seen on FB so far. It is dismal material so I will try to keep it light hearted
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I cleaned up this message,broke it into paragraphs and highlighted a few things. I am not a doctor so I don& #39;t understand all the jargon. If any of my doctor friends ID things I should take down I will, but I think this info needs to be circulated.
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What I take (by reading between the lines)from that one above is that when hospitals hit capacity the 14% that require hospitalization lose the chance to fight it and become critical as well.
Which is why I say when we hit capacity fatality hops from 3-5% to 20%
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Which is why I say when we hit capacity fatality hops from 3-5% to 20%
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Too much ER Doctor jargon in here for me to withdraw anything useful to the lay people, but I feel Doctor& #39;s that have not faced a lot of cases of #CoV19 yet should get this info
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Intubation is not an assurance of survival. People only have a14-30% chance of survival once it gets to that point.
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This is more info that is more useful to doctors on the ground, not us the concerned citizens on Twitter. I don& #39;t take credit for this, it came from friend of friend of friend through FB sharing. I& #39;m not a doctor.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=55&v=XXt1-qEjKlE&feature=emb_logo
OK">https://www.youtube.com/watch... gonna take a beat and circle back. Rock out to @samanthajayne from #CAKEFX. We& #39;ll talk Exponential numbers next.
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OK">https://www.youtube.com/watch... gonna take a beat and circle back. Rock out to @samanthajayne from #CAKEFX. We& #39;ll talk Exponential numbers next.
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OK I broke to eat dinner too. Still have my appetite, which is good cause losing it is a #CoV19 symptom.
So. Exponential numbers.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponentiation
Basically">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expo... the doubling every 3-4 days we see is exponential movement.
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So. Exponential numbers.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exponentiation
Basically">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expo... the doubling every 3-4 days we see is exponential movement.
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If you still don& #39;t get the idea, here& #39;s a visualization. The longer the pattern holds the quicker the spread is, the more massive the spread is. That is how #CoV19 will continue to spread unless we flatten the curve.
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My own projections were a bit off last week because I was expecting doubling every 2-3 days, but it is currently doubling every 3-4. I will do numbers again Saturday after we meet my Friday night projection 7k dead (or not)
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But after accounting for the 3-4 days of doubling I still calculated :
225K Dead April 23rd
900K Dead May 1st
Some regions will flatten the curve by then, but Nationally we& #39;re not there yet.
11/ https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/27/upshot/coronavirus-new-york-comparison.html?fbclid=IwAR19YQyR5T7gLAqROehyVCb64kCWG5H0bfxWq8mlB36Q6_dbrh7c9gjzf2E">https://www.nytimes.com/interacti...
225K Dead April 23rd
900K Dead May 1st
Some regions will flatten the curve by then, but Nationally we& #39;re not there yet.
11/ https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/27/upshot/coronavirus-new-york-comparison.html?fbclid=IwAR19YQyR5T7gLAqROehyVCb64kCWG5H0bfxWq8mlB36Q6_dbrh7c9gjzf2E">https://www.nytimes.com/interacti...
It& #39;s impossible to flatten the curve for all of USA until we& #39;re ALL enacting proper protocols. Some states have been flat out screwed by their governor& #39;s responses. For example, me in Florida.
12/ https://www.miamiherald.com/news/coronavirus/article241487396.html?fbclid=IwAR2xF-HqUx5Y2mgYRkYrem72D1M4RkgBhfJMBqD6GoXNejebLS6QkZ81lf8">https://www.miamiherald.com/news/coro...
12/ https://www.miamiherald.com/news/coronavirus/article241487396.html?fbclid=IwAR2xF-HqUx5Y2mgYRkYrem72D1M4RkgBhfJMBqD6GoXNejebLS6QkZ81lf8">https://www.miamiherald.com/news/coro...
I guess it& #39;s never too late to welcome Tennessee into the year 2020. We need a unified response Nationally or Exponential Numbers are gonna keep killing us.
13/ https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/2020/04/02/gov-bill-lee-issues-stay-home-mandate-tennessee-continues-fight-spread-coronavirus/5112202002/">https://www.tennessean.com/story/new...
13/ https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/2020/04/02/gov-bill-lee-issues-stay-home-mandate-tennessee-continues-fight-spread-coronavirus/5112202002/">https://www.tennessean.com/story/new...
Sheer population density is taking its toll on NYC which is now the global epicenter. This was two weeks ago.
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https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/25/nyregion/nyc-coronavirus-hospitals.html?fbclid=IwAR0QsLLcrAY2Nz6nFz6qzvY6zHKhKUBtkthMmBiosXBXSkSCW0DdGk18_Nc">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/2...
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https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/25/nyregion/nyc-coronavirus-hospitals.html?fbclid=IwAR0QsLLcrAY2Nz6nFz6qzvY6zHKhKUBtkthMmBiosXBXSkSCW0DdGk18_Nc">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/2...
As long as NYC is dependent on their subway system to get their workers to the hospitals (and shipping centers) we will not be able to flatten the curve.
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I had been using WaPo& #39;s page to follow stats but I don& #39;t think they& #39;re staying on top of it properly, so this is now my primary source for following deaths/infections.
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https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/">https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir...
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https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/">https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir...
Another quick musical interlude as I finish eating.
This is @lkx47 Leikeli47, my current favorite rapper.
"miss miss miss me with the bullshit"
17/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M7-pXHbruYA">https://www.youtube.com/watch...
This is @lkx47 Leikeli47, my current favorite rapper.
"miss miss miss me with the bullshit"
17/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M7-pXHbruYA">https://www.youtube.com/watch...
Now some of us think we got #CoV19 as early as January. Many asymptomatic ppl will never suspect they have it. Some people with mild cases might not even suspect they have it. Like our resident super hero Greta
18/ https://www.courthousenews.com/greta-thunberg-reports-recovery-from-what-was-likely-covid-19/">https://www.courthousenews.com/greta-thu...
18/ https://www.courthousenews.com/greta-thunberg-reports-recovery-from-what-was-likely-covid-19/">https://www.courthousenews.com/greta-thu...
This thread is one of the most concise on safety that I have seen on Twitter. Unlike me, she IS a doctor.
19/ https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1243207848474988549.html">https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/12...
19/ https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1243207848474988549.html">https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/12...
This is why drinking tea every two hours can actually help beat #CoV19. Melt it and flush it to the stomach where it is not a lethal flooding of your lungs.
I& #39;ve been drinking tea A LOT.
20/ https://www.accuweather.com/en/health-wellness/higher-temperatures-affect-survival-of-new-coronavirus-pathologist-says/700800">https://www.accuweather.com/en/health...
I& #39;ve been drinking tea A LOT.
20/ https://www.accuweather.com/en/health-wellness/higher-temperatures-affect-survival-of-new-coronavirus-pathologist-says/700800">https://www.accuweather.com/en/health...
Youth does not make you invulnerable, and doctors & nurses exposed to a lot of it become more susceptible.
21/ https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/13/world/asia/coronavirus-death-life.html?fbclid=IwAR3L29gnEwZTbGRkBk2hBTI1y6OhiyPXWGrrG6ij0swk4iE_ul61sOo3kFg">https://www.nytimes.com/interacti...
21/ https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/13/world/asia/coronavirus-death-life.html?fbclid=IwAR3L29gnEwZTbGRkBk2hBTI1y6OhiyPXWGrrG6ij0swk4iE_ul61sOo3kFg">https://www.nytimes.com/interacti...
I personally had a 4-5 day fever in January that I believe was one of the strains of #CoV19. But as I was never tested and since there are TWO phenotypes, I am waiting to beat both before I think of myself as seasonally safe.
22/ https://www.newscientist.com/article/2236544-coronavirus-are-there-two-strains-and-is-one-more-deadly/">https://www.newscientist.com/article/2...
22/ https://www.newscientist.com/article/2236544-coronavirus-are-there-two-strains-and-is-one-more-deadly/">https://www.newscientist.com/article/2...
I won& #39;t be able to know if I beat one or both strains though, until we develop the antibody test.
23/ http://theconversation.com/antibody-tests-to-get-a-grip-on-coronavirus-we-need-to-know-whos-already-had-it-134547">https://theconversation.com/antibody-...
23/ http://theconversation.com/antibody-tests-to-get-a-grip-on-coronavirus-we-need-to-know-whos-already-had-it-134547">https://theconversation.com/antibody-...
We need to protect our Doctors, Nurses, Truckers and Food Workers in this Crisis. This bullshit needs to stop.
24/ https://www.rawstory.com/2020/03/landlords-booting-out-nurses-over-coronavirus-fears-and-grocery-workers-could-be-next/?fbclid=IwAR3wiTyXjyhERnZseGEOQbovVvZMB_Ntb72xvHCGDKzG8Zlol49dg46IWvU">https://www.rawstory.com/2020/03/l...
24/ https://www.rawstory.com/2020/03/landlords-booting-out-nurses-over-coronavirus-fears-and-grocery-workers-could-be-next/?fbclid=IwAR3wiTyXjyhERnZseGEOQbovVvZMB_Ntb72xvHCGDKzG8Zlol49dg46IWvU">https://www.rawstory.com/2020/03/l...
This one is a long musical Interlude so I can have some ice cream then brush my teeth.
"Lucy took a walk, now Lucy& #39;s dead."
bbiaf
25/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hR3lVxqgaMA">https://www.youtube.com/watch...
"Lucy took a walk, now Lucy& #39;s dead."
bbiaf
25/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hR3lVxqgaMA">https://www.youtube.com/watch...
So it& #39;s time to talk about Intentional Spread. We know that there have been crazy cults that spread it on purpose, #Patient31 for example. This guy was intentionally coughing on ppl before he died on the train.
26/ https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/covid-19-thailand-man-dies-train-pakistan-12599636">https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia...
26/ https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/covid-19-thailand-man-dies-train-pakistan-12599636">https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia...
Also in Thailand they are looking into this event that occurred despite lockdown. Whether intentional or not it was a Super Spreader incident.
27/ https://www.khaosodenglish.com/news/crimecourtscalamity/2020/03/26/army-orders-probe-in-super-spreader-boxing-match/">https://www.khaosodenglish.com/news/crim...
27/ https://www.khaosodenglish.com/news/crimecourtscalamity/2020/03/26/army-orders-probe-in-super-spreader-boxing-match/">https://www.khaosodenglish.com/news/crim...
This also seems accidental, but holy shit India is about to have some scary numbers.
28/ https://www.bangkokpost.com/world/1888290/case-of-super-spreader-guru-alarms-india">https://www.bangkokpost.com/world/188...
28/ https://www.bangkokpost.com/world/1888290/case-of-super-spreader-guru-alarms-india">https://www.bangkokpost.com/world/188...
Which brings us to last night when @VickerySec said what many of us have been thinking in 4 succinct Tweets.
29/ https://threader.app/thread/1245538538138959874">https://threader.app/thread/12...
29/ https://threader.app/thread/1245538538138959874">https://threader.app/thread/12...
Trumpov has known for a very long time. And He& #39;s also been working against out pandemic response capabilities for a long time.
30/ https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/19/us/politics/trump-coronavirus-outbreak.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/1...
30/ https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/19/us/politics/trump-coronavirus-outbreak.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/1...
Andddd he kept on downplaying it.
31/ https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/15/opinion/trump-coronavirus.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/1...
31/ https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/15/opinion/trump-coronavirus.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/1...
But he did have a weird visit to Walter Reed that coincided with the first #CoV19 known on Earth in China November 17th. (File that for later)
32/ https://www.cnn.com/2019/11/17/politics/trump-physical-walter-reed-protocol-routine-presidential-visit/index.html">https://www.cnn.com/2019/11/1...
32/ https://www.cnn.com/2019/11/17/politics/trump-physical-walter-reed-protocol-routine-presidential-visit/index.html">https://www.cnn.com/2019/11/1...
He went on to give away literal TONS of our PPE & medical equipment.
33/ https://www.state.gov/the-united-states-announces-assistance-to-combat-the-novel-coronavirus/?fbclid=IwAR3UcRhsDhsxuG8RoB4mMKtntw4t-g0f-RAWCDAkeBLk_05fA8dpYsa0Dfk">https://www.state.gov/the-unite...
33/ https://www.state.gov/the-united-states-announces-assistance-to-combat-the-novel-coronavirus/?fbclid=IwAR3UcRhsDhsxuG8RoB4mMKtntw4t-g0f-RAWCDAkeBLk_05fA8dpYsa0Dfk">https://www.state.gov/the-unite...
He gave away our supplies SEVERAL times.
34/ https://www.usaid.gov/asia-regional/press-releases/mar-9-2020-us-provides-personal-protective-equipment-royal-thai-covid-19?fbclid=IwAR1aDUrgkExcyUVBYg-hU2bqNF6yidS7HjUsjZkk1k96FvKufGPFmZdkNhI">https://www.usaid.gov/asia-regi...
34/ https://www.usaid.gov/asia-regional/press-releases/mar-9-2020-us-provides-personal-protective-equipment-royal-thai-covid-19?fbclid=IwAR1aDUrgkExcyUVBYg-hU2bqNF6yidS7HjUsjZkk1k96FvKufGPFmZdkNhI">https://www.usaid.gov/asia-regi...
He& #39;s also (predictably) turned the crisis into a way to campaign and be a general blackmailing mobster.
35/ https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2020/03/how-republicans-and-democrats-think-about-coronavirus/608395/?fbclid=IwAR1d77DU7uHHRYvMupx4Q6JndFXzxLGwjGswsRyy2gtkxbZofToXHO8Hguw">https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/...
35/ https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2020/03/how-republicans-and-democrats-think-about-coronavirus/608395/?fbclid=IwAR1d77DU7uHHRYvMupx4Q6JndFXzxLGwjGswsRyy2gtkxbZofToXHO8Hguw">https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/...
Some of the equipment we do have has lapsed in its usefulness. This again could have been prevented.
36/ https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/01/us/politics/coronavirus-ventilators.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/0...
36/ https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/01/us/politics/coronavirus-ventilators.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/0...
I personally still think this could have been developed in a Russian lab and this guy wants to accept their help? I reallllly think RU will only send us tainted and useless equipment. (or sell us our own stuff back)
37/ https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/russian-plane-coronavirus-medical-gear-lands-u-s-after-trump-n1174436">https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/...
37/ https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/russian-plane-coronavirus-medical-gear-lands-u-s-after-trump-n1174436">https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/...
He goes on TV everyday to spread #deza and rile up his not-so-smart base. His message is making things worse daily.
38/ https://www.salon.com/2020/04/02/trump-empowered-conspiracy-theorists-now-theyre-threatening-public-health-and-safety/">https://www.salon.com/2020/04/0...
38/ https://www.salon.com/2020/04/02/trump-empowered-conspiracy-theorists-now-theyre-threatening-public-health-and-safety/">https://www.salon.com/2020/04/0...
To the point that it seems his Qanon brainiacs are going to be attacking hospitals and aid shipments. Cause they already are.
39/ https://abcnews.go.com/US/engineer-allegedly-crash-train-usns-mercy-los-angeles/story?id=69926172">https://abcnews.go.com/US/engine...
39/ https://abcnews.go.com/US/engineer-allegedly-crash-train-usns-mercy-los-angeles/story?id=69926172">https://abcnews.go.com/US/engine...
Ok gonna pause for another Musical Interlude then close out with hopeful and helpful stuff.
40/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v0dUnoecoZ0">https://www.youtube.com/watch...
40/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v0dUnoecoZ0">https://www.youtube.com/watch...
There& #39;s no denying it& #39;s getting grim. We don& #39;t have to go all the way to Iran to see bodies piling up.
41/ https://www.syracuse.com/coronavirus/2020/04/report-rikers-island-inmates-offered-6-per-hour-to-dig-mass-graves-in-nyc.html">https://www.syracuse.com/coronavir...
41/ https://www.syracuse.com/coronavirus/2020/04/report-rikers-island-inmates-offered-6-per-hour-to-dig-mass-graves-in-nyc.html">https://www.syracuse.com/coronavir...
The numbers I base my math off of might be low, because of several factors.
42/ https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/nidhiprakash/coronavirus-update-dead-covid19-doctors-hospitals?fbclid=IwAR0AD7poLSk6Sd8jTBKNWixrGfQuGWTckOe0UdhvMA68tK-3oRvsAOWm2Rw">https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/n...
42/ https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/nidhiprakash/coronavirus-update-dead-covid19-doctors-hospitals?fbclid=IwAR0AD7poLSk6Sd8jTBKNWixrGfQuGWTckOe0UdhvMA68tK-3oRvsAOWm2Rw">https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/n...
Not least in those factors is that we don& #39;t know how many people are dead at home. Especially in huge cities like NYC, Detroit, NOLA.
43/ https://nypost.com/2020/03/30/bronx-coronavirus-victims-body-left-in-home-for-24-hours-before-collected/?utm_source=twitter_sitebuttons&utm_medium=site+buttons&utm_campaign=site+buttons&fbclid=IwAR0Jp1oyMEdnaHKeOqSAV6zFrfwALm7f9Ye1ffySZZ7MgS4qldyzGdlxkTo">https://nypost.com/2020/03/3...
43/ https://nypost.com/2020/03/30/bronx-coronavirus-victims-body-left-in-home-for-24-hours-before-collected/?utm_source=twitter_sitebuttons&utm_medium=site+buttons&utm_campaign=site+buttons&fbclid=IwAR0Jp1oyMEdnaHKeOqSAV6zFrfwALm7f9Ye1ffySZZ7MgS4qldyzGdlxkTo">https://nypost.com/2020/03/3...
But there IS Hope. The immediacy of the Crisis is leading to groundbreaking new approaches to networking the cure collectively. But I told you to file the Walter Reed visit for later, yeah?
44/ https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/03/who-launches-global-megatrial-four-most-promising-coronavirus-treatments?fbclid=IwAR2XdicTe5g6aSfQCiXgkhxdc9YXN-9bhzZ_5Qn3xT_9IVg-j9Mk89OF9Ws">https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020...
44/ https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/03/who-launches-global-megatrial-four-most-promising-coronavirus-treatments?fbclid=IwAR2XdicTe5g6aSfQCiXgkhxdc9YXN-9bhzZ_5Qn3xT_9IVg-j9Mk89OF9Ws">https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020...
It has been theorized that Trumpov & perhaps some other ppl in his circle have been taking HIV meds that & #39;may& #39; work to preventive/suppress bad case of #CoV19. His paint job would cover it but it causes blotches on the skin from what I understand.
#GOPutin use is theoretical.
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#GOPutin use is theoretical.
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Also, no matter how bad it gets, brilliant minds are working hard to make it easier for us to maximize our response to the outbreak.
46/ https://scitechdaily.com/mit-posts-free-plans-online-for-an-emergency-ventilator-that-can-be-built-for-100/?fbclid=IwAR1jYkD-6f9TWRFt8gMp1a3JRYHxIL4Lz7G5RhAaDSeW_B36r_paGCxnnzk">https://scitechdaily.com/mit-posts...
46/ https://scitechdaily.com/mit-posts-free-plans-online-for-an-emergency-ventilator-that-can-be-built-for-100/?fbclid=IwAR1jYkD-6f9TWRFt8gMp1a3JRYHxIL4Lz7G5RhAaDSeW_B36r_paGCxnnzk">https://scitechdaily.com/mit-posts...
Being stuck at home doesn& #39;t mean we& #39;re helpless. There are things we can be doing.
47/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BCJcE-r7kcg&feature=emb_logo&fbclid=IwAR2oYdPZP-ZrmqKGJ5Wm-NgyOO65ZaQxOBooiWpCGDaT4cldILWQwyw1ZvM">https://www.youtube.com/watch...
47/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BCJcE-r7kcg&feature=emb_logo&fbclid=IwAR2oYdPZP-ZrmqKGJ5Wm-NgyOO65ZaQxOBooiWpCGDaT4cldILWQwyw1ZvM">https://www.youtube.com/watch...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dy59oQArwXI
I">https://www.youtube.com/watch... am working on some of these soon.
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I">https://www.youtube.com/watch... am working on some of these soon.
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Some people are going above and beyond the call of duty.
49/ https://twitter.com/soychicka/status/1245415755606372353">https://twitter.com/soychicka...
49/ https://twitter.com/soychicka/status/1245415755606372353">https://twitter.com/soychicka...
But even video gaming can be done in pursuit of battling #CoV19. You can feel useful. I was going nuts so I organized and wrote this thread.
50/ https://www.smh.com.au/national/this-game-helps-scientists-design-covid-drugs-they-want-you-to-play-20200330-p54fby.html">https://www.smh.com.au/national/...
50/ https://www.smh.com.au/national/this-game-helps-scientists-design-covid-drugs-they-want-you-to-play-20200330-p54fby.html">https://www.smh.com.au/national/...
Find productive things to do, eat healthy, use sani every 15 minutes and do your Social Distancing. It feels like the end of the world, but MOST of us will get through this.
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Thx for reading. I hope some of it helps somebody somewhere. I& #39;ll leave you with one last song from that time @SPRORGNSM was on #LegionFX.
52/52 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PaWM-hMPUx8">https://www.youtube.com/watch...
52/52 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PaWM-hMPUx8">https://www.youtube.com/watch...