1/ Far too little testing means we can only guess at the real infection levels. But if deaths are 1% of infections this suggests around 290k infected up to circa 14 days ago, which with a 4 day doubling period suggests around 10 times that number now, so circa 3 million! https://twitter.com/SkyNewsBreak/status/1245700630154489858

2/ If the total number of infections is already around 3 million, then around 30,000 deaths are already locked in, and even if the infection rate slows many more thousands than that will die.