A question to which I’ve yet to hear a good answer:

What’s stopping countries that lock down very early and then re-open relatively quickly from getting a second outbreak, either weeks or months later?

Some follow-ups: Do they then lock down again? How many lockdowns will they need? If they’re just going to keep locking down at any size of cases until …a vaccine?… why keep reopening and shutting again?

If the idea is “lots of repeated short lockdowns” then I suspect whoever is proposing that – because I haven’t seen it from many actual public officials – has not thought about trying to get the public to buy into a lockdown 14 times in a row.

(I think some element of a lockdown / relax cycle is inevitable. But countries that locked VERY early and are already reopening are getting praise at the moment, whereas I’m not sure that tactic will look as wise 6-12 months down the line.)