I can never tell what’s going to get attention. I wish this would. Let me rephrase: Oregon - a state of 4.2 million people - has shut down in order to, by ITS OWN PROJECTIONS, keep an average of two extra people a day from needing intensive care this month. https://twitter.com/alexberenson/status/1245686483589226496

Btw: the state doesn’t release death projections in this model, probably because they are too small to have much validity, but ICU admits are a multiple of deaths, so this suggests fewer than 20 and probably fewer than 10 extra deaths for lockdown v. normal activity.