I'm seeing a lot of Cdn opinion pieces that demand Trudeau tell us "How long might we be in this battle? How brutal could it get?"
I'm not sure I understand what ppl want to know. Numerous academics & medical experts have published their models & data... https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/trudeau-coronavirus-pandemic-covid-1.5518249

I'm sure the Cdn govt has tweaked available epidemiological models to account for Canada's unusually low population density & urbanized demography. But other than that, it's on the web, folks. If you're looking for an estimate of when things get back to "normal," I'd say late May

The analysis here provides a good snapshot ...All of it culled from other sources. Rodriguez says late May/early June. But to some extent, it's a political decision that will depend on public opinion on economic tradeoffs, some of which are now unnkowable https://twitter.com/PaulSaxMD/status/1245171883298959360?s=19

this comes down to trust & optics. I'm not sure govt realizes how much damage it's done in this regard, thanks to early effort to blame this all on Canadian racism, and then Tam falling back on dogma when asked about masks etc. Trudeau needs more credible front people on this

For the last 2 weeks, I've been publishing daily updates on the science of COVID19 transmission and treatment.... All of it based on open sources in science, govt and media. I've found that these sources are much more informative than cdn press conferences https://quillette.com/category/covid-19/covid-19-updates/

One problem is that health is a provincial responsibility, so the federal govt role is a patchwork of funding arrangements, coordination bodies and intl box checking. The lure of political posturing is strong, since heavy lifting is done at the prov level. Trudeau & tam show this

Finally, while it is comforting to think some overarching authority is going to decide on the timeline, that's not true. To some extent, these decisions are crowdsourced among employers & ordinary ppl. In many countries, economy started shutting down well before govt mandated it

So while I think Tam's press conferences have been excruciating, and the federal govt leadership hasnt exactly been inspiring, I think Trudeau would be dishonest if he said he could give us any real timeline. At the very least, he's avoided Trump's Easter-timeline bozo eruption