"What& #39;s Happening in Germany??" is a media narrative that never seems to notice what is, in fact, happening in Germany. See if you can spot it (there& #39;s a chart at the end if you don& #39;t).
AP @wirereporter 3/9 "Germany has confirmed more than 1,100 cases of the new coronavirus but — so far — just two deaths..." https://www.usnews.com/news/health-news/articles/2020-03-09/experts-rapid-testing-helps-explain-few-german-virus-deaths">https://www.usnews.com/news/heal...
@Euronews 3/16 "roughly two people for every thousand cases. These numbers stand out" https://www.euronews.com/2020/03/13/coronavirus-why-does-germany-have-so-few-covid-19-deaths">https://www.euronews.com/2020/03/1...
The Week @iamjamesashford 3/20 "Scientists are struggling to understand how so many coronavirus patients in Germany are surviving ... a death rate of 0.27%" https://www.theweek.co.uk/106267/behind-germany-s-low-coronavirus-death-rate">https://www.theweek.co.uk/106267/be...
Bloomberg @naomikresge & @TimLoh 3/24 "one country remains an anomaly... Germany’s mortality rate is only 0.4%" https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-24/coronavirus-less-deadly-in-germany-because-of-youthful-patients">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/arti...
WaPo @LovedayM 3/24 "a persistent question: Why, compared with other countries, are so few...dying? ... in Germany, it’s 0.4 percent." https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/germany-coronavirus-death-rate/2020/03/24/76ce18e4-6d05-11ea-a156-0048b62cdb51_story.html">https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/eur...
NPR @rob_schmitz 3/25 "The conditions seemed ideal... Yet Germany& #39;s fatality rate so far — just 0.5% — is the world& #39;s lowest, by a long shot." https://www.npr.org/2020/03/25/820595489/why-germanys-coronavirus-death-rate-is-far-lower-than-in-other-countries">https://www.npr.org/2020/03/2...
Vox @HJ_Mai 3/27 "Germany has the fifth-most coronavirus cases in the world, but only a fraction of the death toll ... the reason remains a mystery. ...the country’s fatality rate was a low 0.5 percent." https://www.vox.com/world/2020/3/27/21196246/coronavirus-germany-death-rate-covid-19-cases-italy-europe">https://www.vox.com/world/202...
CBS @annanorys 3/28 "The mystery behind Germany& #39;s low coronavirus death rate... surprisingly low... less than 0.5%... remarkable" https://www.cbsnews.com/news/coronavirus-death-rate-mystery-germany-italy-covid-19/">https://www.cbsnews.com/news/coro...
NYT @AnnaSauerbrey 3/28 "a fatality rate of 0.72 percent... The startling numbers are something of an enigma... What is going on here?" https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/28/opinion/germany-coronavirus.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/2...
NS @JeremyCliffe 3/28 "One of the peculiarities of the Covid-19 outbreak... 0.7%... What could explain this?" https://www.newstatesman.com/world/europe/2020/03/why-are-germany-and-austria-s-coronavirus-death-rates-so-low">https://www.newstatesman.com/world/eur...
Time @billyperrigo 3/30 "just 0.9%... one of the lowest rates in the world... an outlier" https://time.com/5812555/germany-coronavirus-deaths/">https://time.com/5812555/g...
AP @wirereporter 4/1 "one of the most interesting puzzles of the COVID-19 pandemic... The numbers are remarkable" https://abcnews.go.com/Health/wireStory/mass-testing-empty-icus-germany-scores-early-virus-69911783">https://abcnews.go.com/Health/wi...
Nearly every story actually quoted an expert (below the fold) explaining *exactly* what the answer is: German cases hadn& #39;t progressed very far yet, so don& #39;t read too much into it. If you chart the data, you can easily see what is happening in Germany and why.
Kudos to @thelocalgermany for noticing the trend and asking the right question. https://www.thelocal.de/20200330/explained-why-is-the-coronavirus-mortality-rate-in-germany-rising">https://www.thelocal.de/20200330/...
I should point out -- something obvious to ppl who know how CFR is calculated and very non-obvious to the reading public -- that *none* of these absolute figures is the "true" or "real" fatality rate. Much more on that here: https://www.freethink.com/articles/what-is-the-coronavirus-death-rate">https://www.freethink.com/articles/...