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This @HenryCordes article in the @OWHnews is misleading at best but dumbfounding if this is the current framework for @GovRicketts and Nebraska. https://www.omaha.com/livewellnebraska/health/study-projects-442-nebraska-deaths-777-in-iowa-in-first-wave-of-coronavirus-pandemic/article_ef61bef2-1825-5064-88e0-7e2de54e5955.html
I'm relying on two threads from @CT_Bergstrom here. Thread 1: https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1243819232950751233
Thread 2: https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1244815009303023616
Thread 2: https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1244815009303023616
This to me is the key point: https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1244819200750678018
There's no real discussion of this point in the article.
(Ugh, my screenshot game is rusty.) Anyways, you won't make good decisions when you act is if the really bad end of outcomes is that the state will be ~60% short of necessary ICU beds at the virus's peak.
Just my two cents. Not an epidemiologist, but this to me seems a straightforward case where people are misinterpreting the map (model) for the territory (facts on the ground.
Bumping this thread to note the addition of a paragraph in the OWH story. Original and then the added paragraph circled:
