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This @HenryCordes article in the @OWHnews is misleading at best but dumbfounding if this is the current framework for @GovRicketts and Nebraska. https://www.omaha.com/livewellnebraska/health/study-projects-442-nebraska-deaths-777-in-iowa-in-first-wave-of-coronavirus-pandemic/article_ef61bef2-1825-5064-88e0-7e2de54e5955.html">https://www.omaha.com/livewelln...
I& #39;m relying on two threads from @CT_Bergstrom here. Thread 1: https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1243819232950751233
Thread">https://twitter.com/CT_Bergst... 2: https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1244815009303023616">https://twitter.com/CT_Bergst...
Thread">https://twitter.com/CT_Bergst... 2: https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1244815009303023616">https://twitter.com/CT_Bergst...
This to me is the key point: https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1244819200750678018">https://twitter.com/CT_Bergst...
There& #39;s no real discussion of this point in the article.
(Ugh, my screenshot game is rusty.) Anyways, you won& #39;t make good decisions when you act is if the really bad end of outcomes is that the state will be ~60% short of necessary ICU beds at the virus& #39;s peak.
Just my two cents. Not an epidemiologist, but this to me seems a straightforward case where people are misinterpreting the map (model) for the territory (facts on the ground.
Bumping this thread to note the addition of a paragraph in the OWH story. Original and then the added paragraph circled:
