Ok as promised, Whidbey NAS, Missile Launch, the hows, whys and whats based on the factual evidence before us. LOTS of Map and Graphics work in this one kids, plus a bonus KMZ file at the end so you too can play in Google Earth yourselves.

Lets start at the beginning. Skunk Bay Weather. They are the ones that provided the picture we got of the missile in flight immediately after launch. You can see it at the bottom of the picture.

http://www.skunkbayweather.com/ 

Now if you go to the website, you will notice that at the top, they have 3 cameras setup looking North West to North East. If you match the land at the bottom of the launch pic, youll see it fits with Cam2

Doing a bit more digging on the site, youll come across the orientation of the cameras. Notice Cam 2 covers North, to North-Northwest. Or the middle patch.

Ok that was the easy part. Here is where it gets fun... I duplicated the above camera in Google Maps and added some markers so you would have a feel for where stuff is in relation to where the camera points. POI in bright green letters

First thing I want to point out, there is much confusion I've seen posted about the missile being launched from Keytron Island. NO! As you can see Keytron Island is 50 miles in the wrong direction. Camera 2 points directly away from it. No way it could have been the origin point

We can zoom in a bit to get to the meat of the matter better too.

IF we look again at the missile launch photo above, we see that it is framed in the left 1/4 of the photo. Knowing that we can chart a path of probable launch zone in yellow like this. Pink dot is the approx spot I lived at the time of the launch. Yes, I heard it. Woke me up.

Lets zoom back in with the missile path on... so we can see better the areas a launch was possible. This encompasses all potential water based launch areas. Will discuss more later on

You see Whidbey NAS there to the left of the path. Some have postulated that the missile could have come from there as a land based unit. Again, no. Sat view of Ault Field included. A ballistic missile is a very large thing, takes a fairly large launch area to be land launched

And as another point about a land launched ballistic missile from NAS Whidbey/Ault Field, its out of the potential range via the camera view. Ault Field would be in Camera 1... not 2.

I'll include some zoomed-in pics of the launch zone as I call it, so you can see the satellite imagery better for what I will show next.

Here is a visual of the pathway that a Missile Sub would take to leave port at Bangor and head out to the Straights of Juan de Fuca in preparation to go to sea.

Now here is the money shot, no pun intended. The ONLY place that a missile sub could have launched from, to fit within the known wedge area is below. Ill add some supporting evidence to that statement next tweet.

Yes thats a convoluted path, but its the only deepish water zone in the launch path that works for the camera angles. Another view but up north with the tideflat areas X'd out in red. When the tide goes out those areas are straight mudflats. Not deep enough for a sub.

A launch could have happened up by Bellingham, but thats a VERY populated area, and would have been too noticed IMO. Most ballistic missile subs are pretty big boats. The US's Ohio class, stationed at Bangor, have a beam of 35 feet while surfaced. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ohio-class_submarine

Looking at a submerged depth to cover the conning tower of say 70 feet at a minimum. And then figure safety margin of 50 feet below the keel. So a MINIMUM depth of 120 feet needed to be submerged. This doesnt take into account launch depth etc, just minimum safe seabed depth

That leaves us with a VERY minimal area that a launch could have happened in. Take depth needs, camera angles, position of missile in photo, and voila, we have ourselves a potential launch point.

Now, I will backtrack slightly and say that there are quite a number of islands in that wedge that could fit the bill for a launch point, and I will be digging a bit into that myself, so lets not get FULLY set on a sub launch. YET.

And as promised, here is the Google Earth KMZ file that has all of the points and Map/Path info on it, so you can zoom in and out and look for yourself.
Thank you for playing! https://drive.google.com/file/d/1zZrqO_1K8mst6ii2iU3bd_RYE6pEPxgE/view?ths=true

Someone asked where the Missile Went. Well Q posted this post, and some sharp eyed anons picked up something odd about it.

https://qmap.pub/read/1472 

Here is the picture posted, zoomed in and the suspect piece circled. Anons did a much better job than I did here, but based on what they did it looked cylindrical, just like a missile body.

Ok a quick look at the 10 or so tiny islands in the launch wedge looks pretty begnin. No ownership info, but the majority of them fall within tribal or state park lands, so I think we can rule them out as possibles. Plus they are all heavily wooded and heavy terrain

Ok, came up with a possible land site.... I’ll clarify it more later. Need to put it together.

No land sites ever panned out, Sorry for not updating that earlier.

I just realized that the Google Maps KML file link was set to private, I have fixed it and am now linking it again for any of you that wish to look closer and in detail at what was being discussed here https://drive.google.com/file/d/1zZrqO_1K8mst6ii2iU3bd_RYE6pEPxgE/view?usp=sharing