So my brother @czarohm asked an important question "what's the aftermath of Covid-19 for Nigeria if it spills till April ending here?"

Well, here's the current reality on the ground:

Most smallholder farmers won't get access to the right input they need to farm (i.e if they manage to evade the lockdown & self isolation) as a result of the lockdown and barring of movement. While the West has made it.../1 – at Medina Estate

...possible for essential services and commodities to still be moved, I'm afraid the lockdown of interstate borders by several government is not only going to make access to farm input difficult, but also very expensive (should it finally get to the farmer). This now puts a.../2 – at Medina Estate

...huge burden on the farmer who's caught in between providing for his family and farming. And since the cost is higher than his intended budget, he'll end up doing a lesser scale than what he initially planned, thereby putting a dent on the expected national yield. All, this../3 – at Medina Estate

...is if he eventually plants in April with the help of the rain.
If he's unable to plant during this period, we might as well prepare ourselves for the worse food shortage we've experienced in Nigeria in the last 20years.
Mind you, the rain is not waiting.
If the smallholder../4 – at Medina Estate

...farmer is unable to plant, our hope will now fall on the large scale farmer. But there's a challenge; most often than not, the large scale farmer farms for one major offtaker - an aggregator or a big company that uses his produce as raw materials. So, if the large-scale.../5 – at Medina Estate

...farmer now decides to take his produce to the open market, we'll be left with thin shelves in the supermarkets, as the big companies won't have raw materials for their processed foods, and the countries they would have imported from, right now, are not willing to sell to.../6 – at Medina Estate

...anyone.
So, however way we look at it, we're looking at an imminent food crises if nothing changes in the coming weeks.
We were projecting that food prices would increase by at least 75% in certain markets by June, well, the stringent measures by some Governors triggered.../7 – at Medina Estate

...market dynamics, and right now, prices of certain produce have gone up by 80-150% in certain market, e.g Onitsha, Awka markets. Yellow garri that was sold for N500 now goes for N800-N1500.
I would have said urban farming will come to the rescue, but how many can it feed?.../8 – at Medina Estate

As countries begin to place a ban on the export of certain food produce, o we here in Nigeria, we'll begin to see a certain processed foods disappear from.the shelve - your spaghetti, noodle and all wheat related food will begin to disappear (because we import alot of wheat).../9 – at Medina Estate

Your canned fishes will begin to disappear too. Your beer (stout) and all barley related products, will either increase in price, or become scarce (because no country wants to sell now, and you don't know when they'll start selling). Either ways, HUNGER looms.../10 – at Medina Estate

In the light of all these, we must, now more than ever, look forward to planting this season, making the most out of the rain, else, we risk in been where Kenya is right now (their Maize reserve is empty, and alot of other food commodities are scarce in the market already). End. – at Medina Estate