Our Daily Presidential Approval Tracking Poll covering @realDonaldTrump shows different 3-Day rolling avg results from others who don't report results daily.

What many “polling analysts” NEVER seem to focus on is survey basis & survey party weighting.

So let’s help them.

1/6
Is a survey of All Adults, or Registered Voters, or Likely Voters? Those key metrics are symbolized here on @RealClearNews as either an A, RV or LV.

Rasmussen Reports always uses Likely Voters based polls for all political subjects year round.

2/6 https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html
Party weighting is also key. Our Likely Voters based polls are weighted D37, R33, Ind30, or D+4.

We check these weight assumptions every 2 weeks against the Michigan Consumer Confidence Index using our proprietary Daily Consumer Confidence Index.

3/6

https://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/rasmussen_reports_proprietary_econometric_data
How other pollsters determine & how frequently they benchmark their own party weightings is for them to say.

Be sure to look for it!

And we are not alone in showing different Likely Voters based approval results for @realDonaldTrump

4/6
https://zogbyanalytics.com/news/888-trump 
And finally, for non-political type questions, we use our All Adults based screen. It is currently weighted D35, R28, Ind37, or D+7.

It’s also tested for correlation against the Michigan Consumer Confidence Index every 2 weeks.

5/6
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu 
So - with our Likely Voters polls at D+4, our All Adults polls at D+7, our last 2016 Pres Matchup showing Hillary Clinton winning the Popular Vote by the exact margin she won it by (D+2) & Gallup now weighted R+4, aren't we a ... Democratic pollster?

6/6 https://twitter.com/Rasmussen_Poll/status/1226294172107395075?s=20
You can follow @Rasmussen_Poll.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled: