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Is that @d_spiegel on @BBCRadio4 #MoreOrLess talking a complete load of twaddle about #COVID19? 
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="đ±" title="Face screaming in fear" aria-label="Emoji: Face screaming in fear">
It is simply NOT TRUE that those who die of #COVID19 would have died anyway and that we won& #39;t see any increase in excess mortality at the end of the year. Just not true. I am stunned.
This https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="đ" title="Down pointing backhand index" aria-label="Emoji: Down pointing backhand index"> https://twitter.com/chrislowndes/status/1244145909337690112">https://twitter.com/chrislown...
Link to the programme in question: https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000gwy8">https://www.bbc.co.uk/programme...
I detect some deft backtracking: https://twitter.com/HetanShah/status/1249260045537357825">https://twitter.com/HetanShah...
However, the "fact" that "the current estimates for the general public (rather than healthcare workers) seem remarkably similar to the risks we face anyway each year â but all packed into a few weeks." is illusory and unhelpful. https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="đ " title="Angry face" aria-label="Emoji: Angry face"> https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/12/coronavirus-statistics-what-can-we-trust-and-what-should-we-ignore">https://www.theguardian.com/world/202...
This blog that is linked to in the sentence above: https://medium.com/wintoncentre/how-much-normal-risk-does-covid-represent-4539118e1196">https://medium.com/wintoncen...
The first sentence is somewhat misleading, because Nick Triggle& #39;s article seemed to be based on what DS himself said in @BBCMoreOrLess a few weeks ago.
The first sentence is somewhat misleading, because Nick Triggle& #39;s article seemed to be based on what DS himself said in @BBCMoreOrLess a few weeks ago.
"Also, as Triggle points out, there will be substantial overlap in these two groups - many people who die of COVID would have died anyway within a short period - and so these risks cannot be simply added, and it does not simply double the risk of people who get infected." Aargh
As I said a couple of weeks ago... (tying up this thread into knots) https://twitter.com/_Lucibee/status/1242776396835033089">https://twitter.com/_Lucibee/...
