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I'm still very suspicious of the numbers coming out of Florida, given that 4 days ago they'd still tested fewer than 3000 people and 1000+ results were still pending.
Is it even feasible that labs in FL fully processed ~9,000 tests in the past 4 days?!?
Is it even feasible that labs in FL fully processed ~9,000 tests in the past 4 days?!?
FL's numbers still aren't checking out. If thousands more are being tested each day and it still takes a minimum of 24 hours to get results back, the number of pending results should be equal to *at least* the number of tests collected the previous day.
This Florida man has been waiting for days for his COVID-19 test results to come back, yet @HealthyFla continues to claim thousands of tests are being administered per day with only ~1200 results still pending.
Gets more suspicious all the time... https://www.clickorlando.com/news/local/2020/03/24/orlando-man-still-waiting-for-results-a-week-after-taking-coronavirus-test/
Gets more suspicious all the time... https://www.clickorlando.com/news/local/2020/03/24/orlando-man-still-waiting-for-results-a-week-after-taking-coronavirus-test/
FL claims to have administered 7677 tests in the past 24 hours. And 4776 in the 24 hours before that. Yet they're also claiming only 1581 are still awaiting results.
That would mean FL has fully processed almost 11,000 tests in just the last 48 hours.
I don't buy it.
That would mean FL has fully processed almost 11,000 tests in just the last 48 hours.
I don't buy it.
Compare tests performed to pending results in the history from day to day. Notice anything odd? The number of tests goes up by thousands each day this week, but pending results don't.
Results don't come back this fast. There are shenanigans afoot. https://covidtracking.com/data/state/florida/
Results don't come back this fast. There are shenanigans afoot. https://covidtracking.com/data/state/florida/
Florida claims an additional 5421 tests were administered over the past 24 hours. Still only 1774 awaiting test results.
I ask again... does Florida even have the lab capacity to process more than 10,000 tests in less than 72 hours?
@TB_Times, @MiamiHerald, @SunSentinel
I ask again... does Florida even have the lab capacity to process more than 10,000 tests in less than 72 hours?
@TB_Times, @MiamiHerald, @SunSentinel
Also, look at the number of positive results being reported vs. the alleged number of negative results being reported. It's an almost exactly 10:1 ratio. That seem virtually impossible... no?!?
Walk with me for a moment...
Walk with me for a moment...
Let's say 29114 tests have been administered, but you want to fudge the number processed to keep the negative:positive ratio at 10:1.
2484 confirmed positive cases. 10:1 positive:negative = 24840 negative. Ratio can't be *so* obvious, so add 15 to 24840 to get 24855.
2484 confirmed positive cases. 10:1 positive:negative = 24840 negative. Ratio can't be *so* obvious, so add 15 to 24840 to get 24855.
How might they have landed on the seemingly random number 15 to add to 24840?
15 just so happens to be 0.05% of 29114, the total number of tests administered to date.
TA-DA!
Now, am I saying this proves they're lying? No. But you must admit, it is all a bit suspicious.
15 just so happens to be 0.05% of 29114, the total number of tests administered to date.
TA-DA!
Now, am I saying this proves they're lying? No. But you must admit, it is all a bit suspicious.
P.S. look at the screenshots in this thread. Day after day, the negative:positive ratio consistently hovers right in the 10:1 range.
Ask yourself: as thousands more tests are administered every day, is it reasonable to believe the negative:positive ratio would remain 10:1??
Ask yourself: as thousands more tests are administered every day, is it reasonable to believe the negative:positive ratio would remain 10:1??
There should be *thousands* more pending results being reported in Florida. I suspect DeSantis is reporting results that should be reported as pending into the negative totals to maintain a 10:1 negative:positive results ratio. https://www.fox35orlando.com/news/some-florida-residents-waiting-more-than-a-week-for-coronavirus-test-results
Florida is, as of this morning, no longer reporting the number of tests pending results. Now there's no way to document inconsistencies with the numbers being reported. They actually changed their dashboard and eliminated the pending results category.
Wait just a damn minute. Now Florida's numbers don't even match... wait for it... Florida's other numbers. They're reporting 125 *fewer* positive cases this morning than last night.
Dear Floridians,
@GovRonDeSantis is lying to you.
@TB_Times, @MiamiHerald, @SunSentinel
Dear Floridians,
@GovRonDeSantis is lying to you.
@TB_Times, @MiamiHerald, @SunSentinel
I guess FL found the 125 positive cases they lost between yesterday night and this morning.
Still maintaining a 10:1 negative:positive test result ratio. It's like magic how they keep sticking right at 10:1. And by magic, of course I mean... don't believe these numbers.
Still maintaining a 10:1 negative:positive test result ratio. It's like magic how they keep sticking right at 10:1. And by magic, of course I mean... don't believe these numbers.
I maintain there is *no way* labs in Florida have processed this many tests in such a short time. And now that they're no longer reporting pending cases, there's no real way to document their reporting shenanigans.
What is happening in Florida is criminal.
What is happening in Florida is criminal.
I won't stop saying this: I do not believe it is within the realm of possibility that Florida is getting test results back quickly enough to be reporting almost 34,000 results already. https://www.heraldtribune.com/entertainment/20200327/coronavirus-florida-overwhelmed-labs-pass-one-patientrsquos-covid-19-tests-around-country
There will come a point when things are so unimaginably bad on the ground in FL that it'll be undeniably obvious that DeSantis has been reporting fraudulent testing numbers the entire time.
How many have to die before people get wise to this life & death game of 3-card Monte?
How many have to die before people get wise to this life & death game of 3-card Monte?
*No way* Florida labs are processing this many tests every day. They do not have the capacity. Florida is reporting 7401 more test results today than yesterday. And still maintaining a negative:positive ratio in the neighborhood of 10:1.
These numbers are not plausible.
These numbers are not plausible.
Florida seems to have a real affinity for 10:1 ratios. Not only has their negative:positive testing ratio remained consistently at or near 10:1, their hospitalized:deaths ratio is also 10:1.
"Coincidence? I don't know. I'm sure their motives are pure." ~ Bill Hicks
"Coincidence? I don't know. I'm sure their motives are pure." ~ Bill Hicks
FL's numbers today. Still implausible, but at least they're making an effort to not make negative:positive numbers a virtually exact 10:1 ratio.
I suspect the % of positives reported to continue to slowly tick up, as they can't continue falsely reporting them indefinitely.
I suspect the % of positives reported to continue to slowly tick up, as they can't continue falsely reporting them indefinitely.
Hospitalized:deaths ratio is still pretty close to 10:1. They really seem to favor that ratio. High enough to seem like they could be legit to those who don't do the math, but low enough to justify not locking the state down.
Florida is back to reporting their preferred 10:1 ratios for both negative:positive test results and hospitalized:deaths.
Pro tip for @GovRonDeSantis: If you're going to report fabricated numbers during a public health crisis, at least *try* to make them believable.
Pro tip for @GovRonDeSantis: If you're going to report fabricated numbers during a public health crisis, at least *try* to make them believable.
Hmm... 57 fewer negative test results being reported in Florida today than yesterday, but more than 1000 more positive test results than yesterday.
That seems totally plausible... right? The wheels are coming off in Florida.
That seems totally plausible... right? The wheels are coming off in Florida.
3712 more negative results & 1032 more positive results since yesterday. 4744 total. Now over 100 deaths. Previous days FL reported 7000-10000+ more results per day. Today? Fewer than 5000.
Is FL testing *fewer* people now than before?
The shell game is unraveling.
Is FL testing *fewer* people now than before?
The shell game is unraveling.
1200+ more cases and 43 more deaths in Florida since yesterday.
Still no reason to believe things on the ground in Florida aren't worse than what's being reported, but even what's being reported is jarring.
Still no reason to believe things on the ground in Florida aren't worse than what's being reported, but even what's being reported is jarring.
With reports of FL residents waiting 2 weeks or more for test results, the idea that FL has fully processed almost 95,000 tests (80,000+ just since I began this thread on 03/22) is virtually implausible.
I'm still incredibly suspicious of the numbers coming out of FL.
I'm still incredibly suspicious of the numbers coming out of FL.
On 03/22, FL reported 11,270 tests had been administered with nearly 1000 still pending results.
Less than 2 weeks later, they claim 105,946 tests have been fully processed.
Some FL residents continue to report waiting up to 2 weeks for results.
Still not adding up.
Less than 2 weeks later, they claim 105,946 tests have been fully processed.
Some FL residents continue to report waiting up to 2 weeks for results.
Still not adding up.
At this point this thread is pretty much a public repository of screenshots from Florida's daily COVID-19 reporting.
For the record, I still find the numbers they're reporting implausible. And I hope @TB_Times, @MiamiHerald, @SunSentinel, et al. are still digging into this.
For the record, I still find the numbers they're reporting implausible. And I hope @TB_Times, @MiamiHerald, @SunSentinel, et al. are still digging into this.
The notion that 1) Florida has fully processed over 110,000 tests since 03/22 and 2) that ~111,000 tests have come back as confirmed negatives is... let's just say, not believable.
Why did Florida stop reporting the number of tests pending results? I think you know why...
Why did Florida stop reporting the number of tests pending results? I think you know why...
Another 13,511 test results being reported in FL since yesterday. Yet Floridians are still reporting waiting up to two weeks for results. I don't buy their negative:positive ratio.
I continue to have questions about FL's lab capacity and number of tests pending results.
I continue to have questions about FL's lab capacity and number of tests pending results.
Different day, same questions. This still just isn't adding up. Almost 140,000 completed tests between 03/22 and today? Still seems pretty fishy to me.
I need to really dig in to see if I can find specifics on who all is processing their tests & the capacity of those labs.
I need to really dig in to see if I can find specifics on who all is processing their tests & the capacity of those labs.
Day 19 of this thread. The numbers aren't getting more believable. Another 13,108 test results being reported since yesterday.
How many tests are still pending results? We have no idea. Florida stopped reporting those days ago.
How many tests are still pending results? We have no idea. Florida stopped reporting those days ago.
Day 20 of this thread. 5,741 completed tests, 1,142 are positive.
Is FL suddenly testing far *fewer* people? Or is 5,000-6,000 tests more in line with the reality of the daily testing capacity in the state? Why is FL suddenly reporting thousands fewer completed tests?
Is FL suddenly testing far *fewer* people? Or is 5,000-6,000 tests more in line with the reality of the daily testing capacity in the state? Why is FL suddenly reporting thousands fewer completed tests?
Day 21. Another 7906 results reported, 1018 positive. Up to 458 deaths.
FL processing ~170,000 tests over the past 21 days still seems implausible, given the delay between administering a test & getting results back. I still want to know how many tests are pending results.
FL processing ~170,000 tests over the past 21 days still seems implausible, given the delay between administering a test & getting results back. I still want to know how many tests are pending results.
FL now reporting 11,501 new results since yesterday; 982 positive. 180,000+ tests fully processed over the past 3 weeks seems... implausible.
@TB_Times confirmed that deaths are being underreported, because snowbirds are being excluded. Only 3 deaths since yesterday? Nah.
@TB_Times confirmed that deaths are being underreported, because snowbirds are being excluded. Only 3 deaths since yesterday? Nah.
Day 23 of this thread. 198,805 total tests reported; 13,879 more than yesterday with 1101 more positive tests.
Seems like a huge jump with a remarkably low number of positives... no? I still think Florida is reporting tests that haven't come back as negative results.
Seems like a huge jump with a remarkably low number of positives... no? I still think Florida is reporting tests that haven't come back as negative results.
Day 24 of this thread. 205,322 tests reportedly completed; 6,517 more than yesterday, with only 609 additional positives since yesterday & 72 more deaths.
These numbers are not at all believable. Results consistently hovering around 10% positive every single day? No way.
These numbers are not at all believable. Results consistently hovering around 10% positive every single day? No way.
Day 25 of this thread. 213,896 total tests supposedly completed; 8,574 more since yesterday and just 891 new positive cases, keeping the positive cases hovering right around 10%, where it continues to consistently remain day after day.
Seems virtually impossible... no?
Seems virtually impossible... no?
Day 26. 224,141 total tests supposedly completed; 10,245 in the past 24 hours, just 821 new positive cases. Total positive cases continue to miraculously hover around 10%.
Are we to believe, given the backlog, that FL processes an average of ~8500 tests per day?!?
Are we to believe, given the backlog, that FL processes an average of ~8500 tests per day?!?
Day 27. 239,982 tests reported; big jump of 15,841 in the past 24 hours, but only 1,413 new positive cases (virtually unbelievably, still supposedly ~10% total positive, as has been the claim all along).
Deaths jumped by 58; ~20% of those hospitalized in FL have died.
Deaths jumped by 58; ~20% of those hospitalized in FL have died.
Day 28. 251,354 total tests reported; an additional 11,372 in the past 24 hours, with only 739 new positive cases (virtually impossible). Positive cases continue to unbelievably hover in the 10% range, where it has been all along, which also seems virtually impossible.
Day 29. 260,724 total tests reported; an additional 9,370 in the past 24 hours, just 822 new positive cases. By some miracle, positive cases keep hovering right around 10%, which is totally implausible when you think about it.
68 more hospitalizations & 26 more deaths.
68 more hospitalizations & 26 more deaths.
Day 30. 271,769 total tests supposedly completed; 11,045 returned in the past 24 hours, amazingly only 744 more positive. By some miracle, positive cases have dropped below 10% of the total. By amazingly & miracle, I mean total bullshit.
49 deaths in the past 24 hours.
49 deaths in the past 24 hours.
Day 31 of this thread. FL now reporting 282,340 total tests; up 10,571 in the past 24 hours, with just 811 new positives. Now claiming just 9.8% positive cases, dropping virtually every day now, which is totally implausible.
They've also changed the dashboard format. Why?
They've also changed the dashboard format. Why?
Day 32 of this thread. Florida's dashboard is suddenly not working properly. Coincidence? I don't know... this hasn't happened before, but I'll keep an eye on it and we'll see how long it takes to come back up.
Update: mobile FL dashboard is still jacked up. 0 hospitalizations?? Errors out on testing page. Web version showing 290,476 total tests; up 8,136 from previous day, "amazingly" only 707 new positive cases.
Crazy coincidence that cases keep miraculously going down, huh?!?
Crazy coincidence that cases keep miraculously going down, huh?!?
FL mobile dashboard still not functioning properly (not showing hospitalizations).
Web dashboard reporting a whopping 12,574 more tests, with just 1,072 new positive cases. Surely a coincidence that positive cases now continue to miraculously remain consistently under 10%.
Web dashboard reporting a whopping 12,574 more tests, with just 1,072 new positive cases. Surely a coincidence that positive cases now continue to miraculously remain consistently under 10%.
Seems I forgot to update this thread yesterday. In the past ~48 hours FL claims an additional 30,049 total tests, just 1,191 new positives.
Since the day Trump's "plan to reopen" was released, the % of cases has dropped consistently, now at 9.2%.
Pretty big coincidence.
Since the day Trump's "plan to reopen" was released, the % of cases has dropped consistently, now at 9.2%.
Pretty big coincidence.
