Fitted a curve through this covid data for India, over the last 10 days: 77 85 100 110 114 140 170 198 249 329

We are doubling every 4.5 days at a rate of roughly 17 percent per day.

We will cross 1000 a week from now.
But things may start moving faster as we do more testing. The US went from 350 to 25000 in a matter of 15 days.

Socially distance yourself and stay safe.
Last Sunday, I had said we will cross 1000 a week later. As if by clock work, we have today.

Using this data for 5 days: 571 657 735 886 1024, I detect a marginal slowdown to ~16% (from 17%).

Next week, ~2800 unless lockdown has some major effect.
Using the last 5 days of data: 1139 1347 1635 2059 2543, we are at 22% Spikes or more permanent?

Also there will be some random sampling in hotspots (finally).

We will hit 3K earlier than expected.
You can follow @ainvvy.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled: