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I’m glad Cooper hasn’t ordered this, because it would harm so many, many businesses and people. I know this is talking like an economist, but we need to bear in mind the tradeoffs of these decisions. We have to at least have a grasp of what they are. I can’t say I do. https://twitter.com/JulieHavlak/status/1241065563813789702
But some things I think about:
—How many expected lives saved vs. lost *to the virus* in each restriction ordered?
—How many expected lives saved vs. lost *from the fallout* of each restriction?
—How many expected lives saved vs. lost *to the virus* in each restriction ordered?
—How many expected lives saved vs. lost *from the fallout* of each restriction?
Lost income or worse, lost jobs lead to more hardship, more poverty, more bad health outcomes, more suicides, more desperate violent acts, more idleness, more crime.
Don’t know how much of those we risk for how many lives saved from infection. Do our leaders have a sense of it?
Don’t know how much of those we risk for how many lives saved from infection. Do our leaders have a sense of it?
Again I ask:
What's the end game? Can the governor tell us at what point life can get back to normal? Is it:
—when we reach inflection point?
—a numerical goal?
—2-3 weeks and we’ve sufficiently bent the curve?
—when we have X number of tests available?
Please: just let us know
What's the end game? Can the governor tell us at what point life can get back to normal? Is it:
—when we reach inflection point?
—a numerical goal?
—2-3 weeks and we’ve sufficiently bent the curve?
—when we have X number of tests available?
Please: just let us know
Again, I don’t know. My instinct is that the wider the shutdown, the more likely it is that the governor would be imposing greater costs on society than he’s averting.
I can’t say that the restaurant and bar closures pushed us into net negative territory for lives, but I think it’s possible. So therefore I think it’s all the more possible to impose net negative costs by imposing shelter in place, effectively closing down all kinds of businesses
I understand the governor, DHHS, and the Council of State will be making decisions based on imperfect information. I think I can aid by reminding them of Henry Hazlitt’s one lesson of economics:
Given the concerns raised in this thread, I'm glad to see Sen. Berger asking these questions: https://twitter.com/APDillon_/status/1243606266213208073
Continuing this thread, @TheRightAOC deservedly BLASTS Gov. Cooper’s recklessness with this state lockdown order today.
What’s it based on? Why won’t he tell us?
https://lockerroom.johnlocke.org/2020/03/27/jlf-ceo-responds-to-gov-roy-coopers-statewide-stay-at-home-order/
What’s it based on? Why won’t he tell us?
https://lockerroom.johnlocke.org/2020/03/27/jlf-ceo-responds-to-gov-roy-coopers-statewide-stay-at-home-order/
And @JohnHoodNC’s column today.
http://carolinajournal.com/opinion-articl …
The longer this goes, the more squarely we’re in “you better have a damned good reason” territory, not “we don’t have the luxury of checking whether it’s a good reason” territory.
http://carolinajournal.com/opinion-articl …
The longer this goes, the more squarely we’re in “you better have a damned good reason” territory, not “we don’t have the luxury of checking whether it’s a good reason” territory.
Meanwhile Gov. Cooper continues to duck questions about what’s guiding his decision-making and if he has any strategy or rationale for reopening the state. https://www.carolinajournal.com/opinion-article/governor-mum-about-covid-19-decision-making-priorities-data-sharing/
He has demolished the economy in a matter of weeks, acted unilaterally and unconstitutionally outside the Council of State to shut down the state’s hospitality industry, and he can’t even muster the fortitude to tell us what it’s based on?
NC Senators are asking tough questions from the governor, who STILL isn't providing the data on which he's based throwing (to date) 670,000+ NC'ians out of work in just the last month. https://www.scribd.com/document/457606606/Caucus-Letter-to-Gov-Cooper
"In summary: What is your plan, when will your administration begin releasing your plan, and when will your administration begin releasing, not withholding, key information? North Carolinians deserve to know. Lives and livelihoods are at stake."
Read this thread. I've been asking these questions for OVER A MONTH, and I'm not the only one. Thinking North Carolinians have been asking for the data behind the governors' edicts. Maybe he will answer the Senate?
