Listen Idaho reporters. It’s just not enough to report the stuff that Brad Little puts out every day and which random ass restaurants are closing. You need to tell people what the scientific models show is headed our way. Here’s a sample of how to do it: https://medium.com/@RichDevices_58280/covid-19-how-much-time-does-the-us-have-to-act-we-ran-the-numbers-4f10a0cd5da2
I’m not a scientist and hell I barely passed math in college but it’s easy to run the numbers. 23 cases in Idaho. We know there’s about 50 undiscovered cases for every positive test. That’s 1,150 people who likely have it right now. Out of those 1,150 20% will need hospital care
That’s 230 people. It’s doubling every three days on average. Today is March 19th. By Sunday the 22nd the model shows the numbers will be 46 positive. 2,300 infected. 460 will need hospital care. Then double it again on March 25th.
Not everyone needs the hospital care right away. But within 10-12 days of infection the 20% of severe cases do. If you don’t like this model or you think I’m running it wrong, try it yourself or find a different one. I hope the numbers will be lower if people isolate enough!
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