I don't do this often, but I want to publicly go on the line with two predictions

1) ≥ 10k USA coronavirus deaths by the official end of summer

2) absolute # of coronavirus deaths in California will be at least 75% the absolute # of coronavirus deaths in Italy (same cutoff)

> absolute # of coronavirus deaths in California will be at least 75% the absolute # of coronavirus deaths in Italy (same cutoff)

for context, California population is approx 40 million, whereas Italy is approx 60 million

adding a prediction, based on the napkin math in this thread https://twitter.com/sonyasupposedly/status/1247729536428470272

by July of this year, the # of COVID-19 deaths in California will be ≥ 10k