One of the dark things we're going to discover is the number of shittier health outcomes that are going to come from the non-COVID populations whose care we're delaying to focus on the more immediate COVID needs

Another # we need to think about when analyzing the COVID impact

Issue with "elective surgeries" is that tons of surgeries that qualify as elective, and IMO should be bucketed:

infinitely delay-able (e.g. cosmetics)
Have to be done but lower risk (e.g. pregnancy)
Have to be done but higher risk (e.g. heart surgery) https://twitter.com/chrissyfarr/status/1248287923059019776

Bucket 1 should stay delayed
Bucket 2 should potentially be done in different settings
Bucket 3 needs to be re-allowed sooner

if people are delaying #3, they're going to have much worse outcomes

See this article about the disappearance of heart attacks
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/06/well/live/coronavirus-doctors-hospitals-emergency-care-heart-attack-stroke.html