we don't know what "the administration" is doing while people outside the white house are protecting each other, so, for the record, at present time, arsenic is not a beverage
does the campaign/family expect to get a % of the main street bailout money (trump donation being a household need)
is the census why immigration cops have virus gear
if we have a 12–18 month global clash with virus, who would we choose to be american president for that (besides she-who-putin-nixed)

if we're dreaming of a functional covid czardom, i'd put @senwarren on the team with @billgates

ah if only trumpistan weren't allergic to FOIA
yes it would be very bad for a good public administrator to get inside "the administration" to witness the shitshow 'potrumpkin village' of corruption & campaign integration in federal operations

"over here we have the good virus masks hoarded for ICE staff bullying the census"
people in my head are asking why i'd prefer @senwarren to @joebiden or @sensanders when that's obvious

i'd trust either's *team* but what each personally brings to planning table is less

i mean, not bottom of barrel, or leaking from bottom of the barrel he personally corroded…
ok who else besides epidemiexperts

someone logistics, a @jeffbezos rep, etc

someone production, a @proctergamble rep, etc

biz money, gov money, home money,
medical,
etc,
brain trust stuff

define "war footing" then get framework staff then get section staff then plan then act
"we're gonna win the race to that spot right over there, a great spot, nobody's ever raced to there before, kudos to our private sector for helping select it, we will definitely reach that spot in record time that we have chosen based on how far we can go as fast as we are going"
any money the feds dispense to main street in coming weeks is not a bailout

it's alternative economic transportation

cuz, despite the lean & very mean operations of so many moving parts of our society, our new (ongoing) needs do not stem from avoidable personal or group errors
the rona
the president is not going to behave in a professional manner during daily press briefings, regardless of harm it causes

in terms of his political campaign strategy, these briefings have taken the place of his rallies—

—where cheap shots, bluster & self-pity are the main event
"when did they know"

"when could they have guessed"

"when will they open up about the challenges, to bring the full cooperative force of idled resources to bear"

you're asking when will they do their duty

in essence, when will they care

they CAN'T care

they're broken
the way the trump talks about procurement it's like he thinks it'd be a bigger disaster than mass graves if we ACCIDENTALLY BUY TOO MANY GLOVES

like a lazy kid debating the meaning of "take the trash out"

well, his sell-by date is november & poor guy's got a tough summer ahead
https://mobile.twitter.com/DavidPoland/status/983047199213813765
i've even been wondering why governments have to 'spend' here—i feel like there's a strong case, during what is mostly an activity drought, for fiat money to step up & MAINTAIN the momentum on which it's based with magical emergency irrigation of payments https://mobile.twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/1241692459064844291
cuz, apologies to prince's ghost, "let's pretend we're busy" seems the easiest thing to do
bridging gaps between starkly different prerequisites for trust
the right distances for the moments
is it hard to picture hospitals FLOODED with patients

i say FLOODED cuz people do get how federal emergency services come to rescue when disasters overwhelm other local infrastructure

apparently we forgot, or it's not obvious, that hospitals have levies that can be breached too
🌑
it is NOT hard to understand why (sociopathic grifters have decided) "the cure is worse" has traction in the wider population

majority of americans started this financially insecure

less than a third of working age population can WFH

that's MILLIONS new eligible facebook dupes
dupes as in marks

unpaid social distance forcing people halfway down the stairs of the martyrdumb ideological bunker

to drag them all way under dark you need televised ropers calling out "i saw light down there" & shills posting on yr facebook "we could use some light let's go"
re: 12–18 mo clash with virus requiring a dedicated czardom & operations substructure https://mobile.twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/1242906462399221760
⠀ ⠀ believe

go where do

⠀ ⠀⠀you
⠀ ⠀⠀⠀ ⠀⠀⠀ ⠀any
⠀ ⠀⠀can

sex & drugs

⠀ ⠀⠀effect
omigosh i have such a great idea for financing state & local government in this critical time

let's have private equity buy them

tax free
sports preppers like

"anyone who expects wimbles to just get done

anyone who can't wimble for themself

is at double fault"
the "let's pretend we're busy" economic bridge to less-corona tomorrow came from playing with the sawtooth quarantine pattern that's getting more famous now

having fiat currency switch btwn 'productive' & 'maintenance' probly wouldn't work for billions in real lack, or long term
but sawtooth

once you have a currency—

wait this is not universal basic

or is it

i mean who wants two tiers of currency

—have a currency we can 'just spend, with an asterisk' when quarantined, how does production work—

um this is the physical real not an anime studio

—wait
trying to imagine sawtooth PRODUCTION

(w/o androids) (cuz no androids) (migrants are people)

and by fulfillment i mean both delivery & pride

"this is the physical real not an anime studio"

—but sawtooth

you know what https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inbetweening is

think 'key frame period'
*note: the fantabulous bullshit 'just math' currently involved in compensating work (who 'earned' what) (my, what a wide variety of priesthoods you have, grandma)

**can't keyframe a hospital (many things are hospitals) obviously you need redundant staff for 'physical real' stuff
***big economic problem is the low serendipity of who got sick first (east asian adaptation style incompatible w/ wider world) if i were god i would have incubated the quarantine-industrial revolution in finland or iceland where people have seasonality & happy love goals in mind
****second biggest, after 'sadistic shits'
"wow haha we're all staying home & hoarding essentials & the distressingly empty roads have wildlife wandering on them ZOMFG DID U SEE UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS WHAT THE HOW DID WHO KNEW THIS WAS WHEN HISTORY EVER"
we could have tested & quarantined better
(but we* had to deceive investors)
we could have supported employment
(but we* had to bail out investors)
we could have rescued displaced households
(but we* had to call them lazy) https://mobile.twitter.com/hshierholz/status/1245694392071004160
ⓐppropriate pressure on china improves info exchange on outbreak

'ⓑy the book' domestic outbreak response improves health & economic outcomes

ⓒollaborative attitude improves international outlook

ⓓecisive timely federal aid reduces local anxiety https://mobile.twitter.com/ValerieJarrett/status/1245489466837532675
this artificially-scarce darker more dangerous world isn't 'post-american'—

when USA acting as hub & lead referee for multilateral playing field gives the best possible ROI, but the american government you've got doesn't want the world to work smoothly

—it's idiot-american
ⓔngagement with iran reduces regional risks (including dull thankless ones like public health)

ⓕactual briefings grow many virtuous branches of practical, generous decisions by informed public
don't get me started on 'school is canceled'

i am frustrated by my country's shabby treatment of family & community

"welp in these hard times we can't deliver on our promises to kids' future cuz we had no backup plan to parents working 50-60 hours, out of communication

sorry"
putting aside the hostility of lunatics (already screeching about the satanic vaccine 'demoncrats' might inject if donald gets fired) to 'gummint education'

we still have this question of why reality-based communities had no distance-learning programs to adapt & deploy in crisis
& putting aside 'the nation' debating the meaning of the words 'access to health care' DURING A PLAGUE

& putting aside an 'advanced economy' needing a shorthand way to say '🄰sset 🄻imited, 🄸ncome 🄲onstrained, 🄴mployed'

it keeps going & that explains a lot but i'm not done
long ago i mad that free software peeps gave no rat's ass about building stuff (cash-poor) schools (crowded enough to merit their own OS) can just use

rationales varied, but sadly (from 'futurists'), most distilled to: "teachers are (girls, are) stupid"

hey, IT KEEPS BEING THAT

⠀ GOD
⠀ ⠀ ⠀ is to
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀ PLEX
⠀⠀⠀⠀ as
ZILLION
⠀⠀⠀⠀ is to
⠀⠀⠀⠀ ⠀ GOOGLE
"AMERICA NEEDS TO KNOW WHY THE NEW YORK CITY HEALTH DEPARTMENT CLOSED ITS NATIONAL PANDEMIC TASK FORCE & STOPPED OBSERVING CHINESE DISEASE CONTROL OPERATIONS" https://twitter.com/pauldame/status/947633988
<conversation>
BS
The quarantine itself is gonna have a death-toll, but it's not clear where and how, as yet. Hints that it might be pop-up famines, because the supply chains are so screwed up and no one remembers how to implement rationing
CF
stress (wear & tear; violence; addiction)
depression
deferred/neglected care for non-rona
hunger; eating badly
less exercise
anxious household accidents
absent/inaccurate advice & support
BS
Yes, I don't doubt the quarantine itself will kill some quarantined people, but I'm thinking it's more a toll from the deprivation of "non-essential" services, which turn out to be "essential" to various demographics in overlooked locales and social niches
BS
There just have to be secondary and tertiary effects from busy people suddenly disappearing, such as, say, spontaneous fires starting in suddenly-abandoned buildings... It's encouraging that Wuhan and Hubei province are still there, but they weren't locked-down indefinitely
CF
⠀ psychologically nobody wants winter
+ few can financially endure winter
+ no consensus what 'winter' means
= haphazard, uncoordinated preparations

not sure how people can put systems to bed if political leadership is unwilling to declare "winter" instead of "rough weather"
</conversation>
hey @Trevornoah @TheDailyShow here's another pandumbic item https://mobile.twitter.com/maddow/status/1227012534114410496
<winter>

❝this is more like a 'hard winter' than enduring some kind of one-and-done natural disaster❞ i said ❝the metaphor works like this:

⠀ new york city is experiencing
⠀ a covid blizzard in the midst
⠀ of a long heavy corona winter
there are strong (conceptual) similarities to arctic peeps hunkering down to essential winter services

all levels of activity (from global trade to local care) need to stop ‘weathering the storm’ & get organized for the extended suspension of balmy day routines❞

</winter>
maybe this is the first i heard about the toilet paper mask myth (early in vid), i guess (me &) too many news orgs don't trip far enough across social media to track such wildfires (but the white house gathers & shits it back out like el jefe invented it)
THINKING ON
THE METAPHOR —born from gut feels, so
OF “CORONA⠀⠀⠀⠀more *how* it's broken
WINTER UNTIL⠀
VACCINE SPRING” —to help us prepare
I DON'T KNOW⠀⠀⠀ for the long torture
HOW TO DO IT⠀⠀⠀ of sadistic leadership?
<RONAPUNK> = solarpunk + corona winter

q: what it do

modeled behavior in logistics crisis is
FINDING CRACKS
algorithmically
academically
anecdotally
SORTING
by need
by love
by efficacy
FILLING
with joy if poss

a: it shows scale where to up; it slathers love like nutella
this critical work is necessarily distributed, with all the time in the world for distance learning but very narrow overworked physical channels to deliver goods & ingredients

implying we need gift boxes with targeted contents

and break-out points for people off the social grid
in north america yes sadistic blowhards knew 'the help' would bear brunt (via dixie 'race war by other means'); punching down is what they do

but retro summer-of-hate chic kills us from exposure

best incentive to rona hygiene is responsive provision

"don't worry"

</ronapunk>
conan ronapunkin'
https://twitter.com/WXXINews/status/1247546847046090752
<average>

@g_keillor had a running joke about averages WHICH ITSELF (here's my point) ON AVERAGE (divided by the universe) DID NOT EXIST

this is crucial, tallying enterprise-size ("millions!") charitable gifts across a voracious season of predatory storms

HOW MUCH DO WE NEED?
even the smallest local fund drive (incl minnesota) knows that to be successful filling a need, you must first inventory that need so you can develop clear targets for your harvest effort and determine what scale & scope of effort will gather & distribute the required new supply
america has no fucking idea:
• how long winter will last (all year)
• how many people will be too cold (roughly half)
• how many warms cold people will need (gigatons)
• how many extra warms needed for essential workers
• what other service levels to maintain

note—
—this is crazy; amateur; downright bovine

to not know these things

for instance, outside people watched agog as china built new hospitals, then when the corona arrived those same people collectively wondered "will our hospitals do enough, or will the infected just kinda croak"?
—currently we are nobly obsessed to give "extra warms to essential workers" since we don't want them to die saving us

but, confounded by the president's infantile FUD, we the people have not got down to the business of estimating stocks, flows & the changing landscape of demand
which brings us to the "millions" essential heat donated by enterprises

a) HOW DOES THE WHOLE PANDEMICAL WORLD GET ENOUGH?

b) really really hate say this but if essential donations displace 'nonessential' tax-free gifts over the course of corona winter, that's bad

</average>
<osterholm> https://twitter.com/jrangelella/status/1236068748722876416
❝I think that it was unfortunate that a number of public health professionals…hadn't understood…that they were only watching the opening scene of this particular "coronavirus winter," as I call it.❞ https://twitter.com/CNNOpinion/status/1237401859192750080
❝right now we're approaching this like it's a washington dc blizzard—"for a couple of days we're shut down"—this is actually a 'coronavirus winter' & we're in the first week❞ https://twitter.com/SquawkCNBC/status/1237347434646421506
i don't think i heard @mtosterholm before making metaphor myself (documented in this thread over the last week)

sorta like the demand-side 'paper mask' driver of tp shortage not fitting msm narratives, maybe people took 'winter' too literally; i had that happen in hurried convo
dear @mtosterholm there's no point me out in twitter nowhere interviewing you but do you think these guesses are in the right order of magnitude (and do you know any articles delineating practical routes around the JIT probs) https://twitter.com/drownded/status/1247628200412250113

</osterholm>
well that's a good place to bring this first #ronawinter thread to a close: it produced a name for itself!

honestly being able to do this thread, these ways, is a reason i set up drownded so abstract & playful & ephemeral, and this is one of my favorite results
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