Some information starting to emerge on how #COVID19 #coronavirus could impact global #foodsecurity. Here is my personal take:

As of March 16th, at least 25 countries in Africa have reported confirmed cases of COVID-19.


Africa’s 1.2 billion people face the highest percentage of undernourishment on the planet, affecting over 20% of the population.

COVID-19 has proved especially deadly for health-compromised individuals. This will include people suffering from severe malnourishment.

It is believed that the survival rate from Ebola was affected by what healthcare workers call “preceding nutritional status” or the baseline nutritional health of people affected by the virus.

We know this to be true of HIV patients as well.


COVID-19 poses a great threat to nations lacking robust social safety nets. In the U.S., steps have already been taken to help kids maintain access to school meals.

These safety nets simply don't exist in exist in many developing countries.

In fact, less than 20 percent of people living in low-income countries have access to social protections of any kind.

See @WorldBank's work on this here:

The food price spikes of 2007/8 show that export restrictions, market speculation & panic behavior were, in part, responsible for the dramatic increase in global food prices in that period.

We are not protected against these measures today.


In developing countries, many families already spend upwards of half of their income on food. Countries that rely heavily on imported food to meet demand—including sub-Saharan Africa—face disproportionate risk from supply chain failures.

We know from the latest #SOFI report that economic decline, poverty and food insecurity often accompany one another.

"Hunger has increased in many countries where the economy has slowed down or contracted."


Entering 2020, the number of hungry and malnourishment people around the world was already on the rise. COVID-19, risks frustrating the efforts of humanitarian and food security organizations seeking to reverse these trends.

Let's keep diligent.

END 16/16
The average American has three days of fresh food reserves—"we are all only ever nine meals from anarchy.”

The perils of our "just enough, just in time" global food system in the face of #COVID19 via @ConversationUS

Global food stocks look O.K. in the face of #coronavirus #COVID19 according to @FAO. Estimated 3 month buffer of cereals.

NOT evenly distributed, of course. 34 of 44 countries requiring external trade or humanitarian assistance are in Africa.

More coming now from @l_haddad @CorinnaHawkes @jessfanzo and others on the global #foodsecurity impacts of #COVID19.

This is the launch of a blog series and a @NutritionConnex landing page, so keep tuning in at @GAINalliance.

Two insights re: #foodsecurity & #COVID19 from
@IFPRI modeling:

1. A 1% reduction in global economic growth may increase global extreme poverty by 1.7%-3%.

2. A 1% slowdown could cause a decline in developing-country agri-food exports of almost 25%.

Our friends @USGLC on the global #foodsecurity impacts of #COVID19.

As their Advisory Council chairs write, "No matter how successful we are in fighting the threat at home, we will never stop it unless we are also fighting it around the world."

The first post in the @NutritionConnex series on #COVID2019 and #FoodSystems by @FAO Chief Economist @MaximoTorero.

1) Safety nets
2) Free trade
3) Invest in supply chains
4) Support farmers to keep growing

@l_haddad of @GAINalliance with the assist.

Acting Director of @WFP Supply Chain:

" @WHO continues to advocate for no restrictions to transport and trade, however countries will act based on their own risk assessment, and some supply chains may be disrupted."

Read more➡️
. @WFP @WFPUSA have been sounding the alarm on #COVID19 & global #foodsecurity because it will disproportionately affect places with:

1. Limited healthcare infr.
2. No safety nets
3. Malnourished people
4. Reliance on food imports
5. Pervasive poverty

If you're not following @IFPRI's Food Export Restrictions Tracker, you should.

Good data is key to protecting against an unnecessary global food price crisis in a time of abundance.

As of today, 0.64% of calories under restriction.

Check it out👉!/vizhome/ExportRestrictionsTracker/FoodExportRestrictionsTracker
You can follow @ChaseSova.
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