Thread by @MtgGuyDan, King County Corona Virus UpdateI’m going to make a little thread with [...]

King County Corona Virus Update

I’m going to make a little thread with quick post everyday from King County.

Confirmed Cases: 328
Number of deaths: 32

https://www.kingcounty.gov/depts/health/communicable-diseases/disease-control/novel-coronavirus.aspx

King County is basically at the tip of the spear, once we can see the data from King County, how many people actually are getting the CV, and how destructive is it. And we can begin to make some educated guesses, rather than running out and buying a pallet of toilet paper.

Keep an eye on when these numbers peak...remember the clock started ticking up here probably back in January, so we might (MIGHT) be farther along this virus path than people think.

From @SharylAttkisson
https://twitter.com/sharylattkisson/status/1238659313897521153?s=21
So, I’m adding this map because I know this area, really well.
See the little red pin Chelsea at Juanita Village? I lived there for 7 1/2 years.
See the little yellow pin Emerald Garden Chinese?
It’s a hole-in-the-wall bar. https://twitter.com/SharylAttkisson/status/1238659313897521153

https://twitter.com/sharylattkisson/status/1238659313897521153?s=21

I mention the little hole-in-the-wall bar because guess where I ended up last Saturday night? Yes, Emerald Gardens. Was with a friend I’ve known for 10 years, and...we went on a bit of a bender. Sort of a lost Saturday. But it was fun, had a great time...
But...

(My friend was my neighbor at Chelsea Apts.) She lived a floor above me, sort of like the old State Farm commercial, the cute girl on the 3rd floor...anyway...

We get together generally speaking, about twice a year, just to catch up on life. The problem is, every time she’s had a few drinks, and it’s getting late, we end up at Emerald Gardens, which is one of those bars that as soon as you walk in, you know you’re at the end of the line

I always stipulate at the sober stage: No Emerald Garden
But by the time we get to the 11:30 PM stage, I’m hearing from her: “Let’s go to Emerald Garden”!

Honestly, I had absolutely no idea that Life Care Center of KIRKLAND, the spot which has totally skewed the Coronavirus Deaths tally for the entire country, is what, a very short 2 blocks away?

I honestly thought the epicenter was another retirement center about 2 miles away.

No one ever accused me of being Einstein reincarnated

I was not consulted for this “social distancing” story

King County CV Update: March 14 2:06 PM

As of 2:06 PM, no update from yesterday. Guessing the county is closed on weekends, but I’ll check again tomorrow.

Confirmed Cases: 328
Deaths: 32

https://www.kingcounty.gov/depts/health/communicable-diseases/disease-control/novel-coronavirus.aspx

King County CV Update: March 14 3:31 PM

Update came a bit later today...

Confirmed Cases: 388 +60 cases from Mar 13
Deaths: 35 +3 deaths from Mar 13

The State Gov is being pro-active as well...

“On March 12, 2020 Washington State Governor Jay Inslee announced that all schools in King, Snohomish, and Pierce counties will close from Tuesday, March 17 through Friday, April 24.”

As of Friday night, 3/13/20, 95 Life Care employees are or have been symptomatic.Of those,47 tested positive;24 tested negative;1 test was inconclusive;5 tests were pending results. In addition,approximately 15-20 staff were tested this morning (3/14/20) https://publichealthinsider.com/2020/03/14/update-on-covid-19-in-king-county-for-march-14-2020/

Update on COVID-19 in King County for March 14, 2020 – PUBLIC HEALTH INSIDER

Summary Public Health provides updates on testing; guidance for small group gatherings; an update on Life Care Center; and temporary and isolation and quarantine facilities. There are 60 new cases...

https://publichealthinsider.com/2020/03/14/update-on-covid-19-in-king-county-for-march-14-2020/

Update: March 17 King County Corona Virus

Confirmed Cases: 518 +30
Number of Deaths: 46. +3
These additional deaths include:

A man in his 70s, who died...
A man in his 90s, who died at EvergreenHealth on 3/16
A woman in her 70s, who died at EvergreenHealth on 3/13

Note the proximity of Evergreen Hospital (2 who died) and Life Care Center of Kirkland

Update March 19 King County Washington
Number of confirmed cases: 693
Number of deaths: 60

Largest daily increase in new cases yet: +131

Note: on March 4, Microsoft and Amazon (and others) sent a company wide email asking employees to stay home.

https://www.kingcounty.gov/depts/health/communicable-diseases/disease-control/novel-coronavirus.aspx

Mar 15:
Statement from Gov Jay Inslee:
- Statewide Shutdown Of Restaurants and Bars
- all gatherings with over 50 participants are prohibited, all gatherings under 50 participants are prohibited unless previously announced criteria for public health and social distancing are met.

I mention these two dates: Mar 4 and Mar 15 to use as markers.
They were important, draconian announcements, but probably necessary.

My guess is that in the next two weeks we should begin to get a light at the end of the tunnel.

Update March 20
King County Washington
Number of confirmed cases: 793
Number of deaths: 67
New Cases: +100
7 Day Rate Of Change: 141.77%

Note: have enough data to do a 7 day rate of change. I think the 7-Day ROC will be worth watching as early indicator for flattening

Mar 20 Update
Deaths:
A man in his 80s, who died on 3/19
A woman in her 90s, who died on 3/17
A man in his 70s, who died on 3/18
A woman in her 80s. who died on 3/18
A woman in her 70s
A man in his 70s, who died on 3/19 at Valley Medical
A woman in her 60s, who died on 3/19

King County Update From 3/19:

Deaths
https://twitter.com/mtgguydan/status/1241051509422342144?s=21

Sorry, I posted this on another thread... https://twitter.com/MtgGuyDan/status/1241051509422342144

https://twitter.com/mtgguydan/status/1241051509422342144?s=21

Update March 21
King County Washington
Number of confirmed cases: 934
Number of deaths: 74
New Cases: +141
7 Day Rate Of Change: 140.72%

Update March 21
King County Washington
Number of confirmed cases: 1040
Number of deaths: 75
New Cases: +106
7 Day Rate Of Change: 147.62%

Notes: 0 new deaths being reported from Life Center of KIRKLAND for the last 3 days...Potentially great news

Update March 23
King County Washington
Number of confirmed cases: 1170
Number of deaths: 87
New Cases: +130
7 Day Rate Of Change: 139.75%

Notes: 12 new deaths (all in 60+ age range)

One thing I notice...deaths have shifted from exclusively Eastside (Kirkland/Bellevue/Redmond) across Lake Washington to Seattle.

died on 3/22 at Swedish Cherry Hill
died on 3/21 at Swedish Cherry Hill
died on 3/22 at UW Medical Center
died on 3/22 at Virginia Mason

The exponential growth phase in Seattle area seems to have ended...things are beginning to flatten out (hopefully). But it makes sense that it would flatten now. We began defacto isolating on Mar 4, beginning to see results now.

“Gov. Jay Inslee spoke directly to Washingtonians to announce he will sign a statewide order that requires everyone in the state to stay home. The order will last for two weeks and could be extended.”
https://www.governor.wa.gov/news-media/inslee-announces-stay-home-stay-healthy%C2%A0order

“Business closures must happen 48 hours after Inslee signs the order.”

For the record, there is absolutely nothing in the data that supports this draconian move by Gov Inslee.

“This Stay Home, Stay Healthy order is similar to orders that other governors, in places such as California and New York, issued last week.”

I find this statement by Gov Inslee to be extremely disingenuous, let me explain...

Washington is 2 1/2 weeks ahead of New York and California as far as “self-isolating”, we began the process on March 4.

As of yesterday, the number of new cases is flattening.

The “self-isolating” from March 4, with this lag of 3 weeks, is working, as it was hoped.

But there are two sides to the coin: “self-isolating” has shut down every bar, every restaurant.The Waiters and waitressesthe line cooks, on and on, are the ones shouldering the burden. To tack on an additional two week economic sentence, without reasonable cause, destroys lives.

Update March 25
King County Washington
Number of confirmed cases: 1359
Number of deaths: +6
New Cases: +82
7 Day Rate Of Change: 141.81%

Notes: New Cases Have dropped under 100 new cases for the day! Yesterday I mentioned the 5 day ROC peaked, tomorrow 7 day ROC will peak

King County Health Dept has added a new, very interesting analytics page
https://tableau.kingcounty.gov/t/Public/views/PublicDashboardDesktopVersion/PHSKCCOVID-19PublicDashboard?iframeSizedToWindow=true&%3Aembed=y&%3AshowAppBanner=false&%3Adisplay_count=no&%3AshowVizHome=no&%3Aorigin=viz_share_link&%3Amobile=true

Interesting stats from King County Health Dept:

Total Number of tests / positive results by sex
Female: 5,666 tests / 689 positive 12.2% positive rate
Male: 3,775 tests / 621 positive 16.4% positive rate
Positive Test Rate per 100,000 people
Female: 0.619%
Male: 0.558%

Re COVID-19 virus: I feel confident in saying that Seattle Has Peaked!

Update March 26
King County Washington
Number of confirmed cases: 1577
Number of deaths: +9
New Cases: +218
7 Day Rate Of Change: 127.56%

Notes: New Cases Increased to +218. Big jump. First day of over 200 new cases. I was premature in yesterday’s optimism.

Update March 27
King County Washington
Number of confirmed cases: 1828
Number of deaths: +16
New Cases: +251
7 Day Rate Of Change: 130.52%

Notes: New Cases last two days +218, +251
Been 23 days since Mar 4 shutdown, and the curve not flattened. Last two days haven’t been good.

Update March 28
King County Washington
Number of confirmed cases: 2077
Number of deaths: +11
New Cases: +249
7 Day Rate Of Change: 122.38%

Notes: New Cases last 3 days +218, +251,+249
Been 24 days since Mar 4 shutdown: on the bright side, 7 Day ROC slowing from Mar 22 peak 147%

Mar 28: Thoughts on King County Data
1) interesting to see heaviest rates of positive results are in Kirkland and Issaquah. Goes against conventional wisdom that areas of heaviest population density would be heaviest hit. If that was the case, Seattle would be harder hit.

Update March 29
King County Washington
Number of confirmed cases: 2159
Number of deaths: +5
New Cases: +82
7 Day Rate Of Change: 107.60%

Notes: New Cases last 3 days +251,+249,+82
7 Day Rate Of Change Slowing to 107.60%

Thanks for nutin’

https://twitter.com/who/status/1217043229427761152?s=21 https://twitter.com/WHO/status/1217043229427761152

https://twitter.com/who/status/1217043229427761152?s=21

WHO: would you trust this advice?
https://twitter.com/whowpro/status/1243171683067777024?s=21 https://twitter.com/WHOWPRO/status/1243171683067777024

https://twitter.com/whowpro/status/1243171683067777024?s=21

Update Apr 1
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 2496
Number of deaths: 164 total
New Cases: +83
7 Day Rate Of Change: 83.66%
Rate of pos results per 100,000
F: 112.4
M: 106.8
Notes: no reporting yest, King Co reported two-day totals today. I allocated half to today, half yest

Adding Tweet to thread
https://twitter.com/mtgguydan/status/1245735884986580992?s=21 https://twitter.com/MtgGuyDan/status/1245735884986580992

https://twitter.com/mtgguydan/status/1245735884986580992?s=21

Update Apr 3
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 2787
Number of deaths: 186 total
New Cases: +131
7 Day Rate Of Change: 52.46%
Notes: 7 Day Rate of Change for New Cases (especially) and Deaths coming down rapidly. Very encouraging developments.

Update Apr 4
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 2898
Number of deaths: 200
New Cases: +111
7 Day Rate Of Change: 39.53%
Notes: 7 Day Rate of Change for New Cases coming down hard. This is very significant. Downshifting into non-exponential growth phase.

Update Apr 5
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 3167
Number of deaths: 8
New Cases: +269
7 Day Rate Of Change: 46.69%
Notes: largest one-day increase in New Cases +269, but only slight uptick in 7 day growth rate (ROC) to 46.69%

Update Apr 6
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 3331
Number of deaths: +14
New Cases: +164
7 Day Rate Of Change: 42.96%
Notes: Rate Of Change flat since Apr 3 (4 days)

Update Apr 7
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 3486
Number of deaths: +8
New Cases: +164
7 Day Rate Of Change: 44.47%
Notes: Rate Of Change flat since Apr 3 (5 days)
Would like to see the rate of change begin to decelerate in the coming days. Things still look very promising

Update Apr 8
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 3686
Number of deaths: +14
New Cases: +202
7 Day Rate Of Change: 48.65%
Notes: Rate Of Change flat since Apr 3 (6 days)

Update Apr 9
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 388(
Number of deaths: +14
New Cases: +198
7 Day Rate Of Change: 46.31%
Notes: Rate Of Change flat since Apr 3...
Deaths: 239 out of 258 deaths age 60+, 137 out of 258 deaths 80+

Update Apr 10
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 4117
Number of deaths: +19
New Cases: +231
7 Day Rate Of Change: 47.72%
Notes: Rate Of Change flat since Apr 3...

Update Apr 11
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 4262
Number of deaths: +7
New Cases: +145
7 Day Rate Of Change: 47.07%
Notes: Much better day as far as deaths are concerned. Thank God.

Update Apr 12
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 4426
Number of deaths: +8
New Cases: +164
7 Day Rate Of Change: 39.75%
Notes: It’s subtle, but today’s numbers are an improving positive, the rate of change is slowly moving towards lower rates of growth.

Update Apr 13
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 4549
Number of deaths: +4
New Cases: +123
7 Day Rate Of Change: 36.57%
Notes: today’s numbers are an improvement over yesterday and continues the trend showing growth rate slowing considerable. Number of deaths down to +4

Update Apr 14
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 4620
Number of deaths: +7
New Cases: +71
7 Day Rate Of Change: 32.53%
Notes:

Excellent day! New cases tumble to just 71 new cases, lowest since March 18. Slowdown in Growth Rate finally translating to lower new cases.

Update Apr 14King Co WANumber of confirmed cases: 4620Number of deaths: +7New Cases: +717 Day Rate Of Change: 32.53%Notes: Excellent day! New cases tumble to just 71 new cases, lowest since March 18. Slowdown in Growth Rate finally translating to lower new cases.

Update Apr 15
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 4697
Number of deaths: +9
New Cases: +77
7 Day Rate Of Change: 27.36%
Notes:

Very little question that the worst is behind us here in King County. Growth rate (rate of change) coming down very significantly.

Update Apr 15King Co WANumber of confirmed cases: 4697Number of deaths: +9New Cases: +777 Day Rate Of Change: 27.36%Notes: Very little question that the worst is behind us here in King County. Growth rate (rate of change) coming down very significantly.

Update Apr 16
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 4809
Number of deaths: +8
New Cases: +112
7 Day Rate Of Change: 23.75%
Notes: Yes, new cases ticked up a bit today, but day by day the evidence is building that we peaked three weeks ago.

Update Apr 17
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 4902
Number of deaths: +11
New Cases: +93
7 Day Rate Of Change: 19.07%
Notes: 3 out of last 4 days New Cases has been below triple digits, great news. 7 day growth rate continues a sharply lower growth rate trend.

Update Apr 18
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 5063
Number of deaths: +9
New Cases: +161
7 Day Rate Of Change: 18.79%
Notes: Bump up in new cases to 161, but 7 day rate of change stays in a down trend. I’m still very encouraged by today’s data.

Update Apr 19
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 5172
Number of deaths: +6
New Cases: +109
7 Day Rate Of Change: 16.85%
Notes: Downtrend in Growth Rate continues, 7 day ROC down to 16.85%.

Update Apr 20
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 5293
Number of deaths: +14
New Cases: +121
7 Day Rate Of Change: 16.36%
Notes: Daily new cases staying in a nice, tight range. Pretty big jump in deaths to +14.

Update Apr 21
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 5379
Number of deaths: +12
New Cases: +86
7 Day Rate Of Change: 16.43%
Notes: A good day, new cases under 100.

Update Apr 22
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 5449
Number of deaths: +7
New Cases: +70
7 Day Rate Of Change: 16.01%
Notes: Daily new cases at +70 is the lowest since Mar 18 (+44), which was the day before New Cases Spiked (Mar 19 +131). Today is excellent confirmation.

Looking at the age distribution of deaths, a logical solution to getting back to work would be: if you are on social security, don’t go back to work; otherwise, it’s time to get the country going again.

Update Apr 23
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 5569
Number of deaths: +5
New Cases: +120
7 Day Rate Of Change: 15.80%
Notes:

Update Apr 26
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 5912
Number of deaths: +8
New Cases: +101
7 Day Rate Of Change: 14.31%
Notes:
I added a new chart, a 7 day average of new highs.
Peaked on Apr 10: 174.14 new cases per day
Apr 26: 88.43 new cases per day. Basically down 50%

Update Apr 27
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 5990
Number of deaths: +9
New Cases: +78
7 Day Rate Of Change: 13.17%
Notes:
- new cases down to +78
- 7 Day Ave of New Cases: 87.29 per day
- 7 Day ROC: 13.17%
All these numbers are really encouraging.
The worst is behind us.

Update Apr 27
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 6054
Number of deaths: +11
New Cases: +64
7 Day Rate Of Change: 12.55%
Notes:
- 64 New Cases
Yesterday was outstanding, today is even better!
Last chart (new): deaths/positive cases by age range

Update Apr 28
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 6054
Number of deaths: +11
New Cases: +64
7 Day Rate Of Change: 12.55%
Notes:
- 64 New Cases
Yesterday was outstanding, today is even better!
Last chart (new): deaths/positive cases by age range

Update Apr 29
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 6182
Number of deaths: +9
New Cases: +128
7 Day Rate Of Change: 13.45%
Notes: sorry, busy day off Twitter. I will have updated charts tomorrow.

Update Apr 30
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 6308
Number of deaths: +10
New Cases: +126
7 Day Rate Of Change: 13.27%
Notes: Last two days new cases have jumped a bit although the 7 day average of new cases at 88.43, at low end of range for last two weeks.

Update May 1
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 6407
Number of deaths: +3
New Cases: +99
7 Day Rate Of Change: 12.62%
Notes: Ave new cases last 7 days down to 85.14 new cases per day.

Update May 3
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 6464
Number of deaths: +2
New Cases: -43
7 Day Rate Of Change: 9.34%
Notes: something funky happened last two days, don’t know what happened, but the number of new cases got rolled back today (-43). New cases ROC now under 10%.

Update May 4
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 6574
Number of deaths: +3
New Cases: +110
7 Day Rate Of Change: 9.75%
Notes: Last two days deaths are down to +2 and +3 (very good news) Clearly on a glide path for lower cases as 7 day ave new cases down to 74.29 per day.

Update May 5
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 6653
Number of deaths: +4
New Cases: +71
7 Day Rate Of Change: 9.89%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 67.29 per day
Notes: New Cases continue coming down. Weather is getting warmer, 70 degrees today, low-mid 80s this weekend

Update May 7
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 6863
Number of deaths: +6
New Cases: +93
7 Day Rate Of Change: 8.80%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 65.14 per day
Notes: Slow grind downward in new cases, tho argument of more sideways than down last three weeks could be made.

Update May 8
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 6940
Number of deaths: +5
New Cases: +77
7 Day Rate Of Change: 8.32%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 61.86 per day
Notes: 77 new cases good sign, 5 deaths...momentum in both categories grinding lower

Update May 9
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7000
Number of deaths: +5
New Cases: +60
7 Day Rate Of Change: 7.58%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 70.43
Notes: 60 new cases is the lowest since March 18 of 44 new cases. Temps (84 degrees) are warm and the sun is shining bright.

Update May 10
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7046
Number of deaths: +8
New Cases: +46
7 Day Rate Of Change: 9.00%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 83.14
Notes: Hugely important day! New Cases fell below 50...been waiting for this for awhile. Lowest since March 18 (44 new cases).

Update May 11
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7115
Number of deaths: +7
New Cases: +69
7 Day Rate Of Change: 8.23%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 77.29
Notes: 5 days in a row with fewer than 100 new cases, the last 5 day stretch with fewer than 100 cases ended March 18.

Update May 12
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7179
Number of deaths: +6
New Cases: +64
7 Day Rate Of Change: 7.91%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 75.14
Notes: Getting consistently lower new cases. Last six consecutive days below 100 new cases.

Update May 13
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7221
Number of deaths: +3
New Cases: +42
7 Day Rate Of Change: 7.91%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 75.14
Notes: Consistently lower new cases. New low in new cases (42) since Mar 17.

Update May 14
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7307
Number of deaths: 0
New Cases: +86
7 Day Rate Of Change: 6.47%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 63.43
Notes: Best news since I’ve been keeping track, first time since March 13 (my 1st day of tracking) there are ZERO DEATHS reported!

Update May 15
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7360
Number of deaths: 2
New Cases: +53
7 Day Rate Of Change: 6..05%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 60.00
Notes: 53 New Cases and 2 New Deaths reported today. We are well past the late-March to mid-April peak. Numbers improving consistent

Update May 16
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7440
Number of deaths: 4
New Cases: +80
7 Day Rate Of Change: 6.05%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 62.86
Notes: Next week is going to be interesting. Was very warm and sunny this past week, plus two full months of social distancing.

Update May 17
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7480
Number of deaths: 2
New Cases: +40
7 Day Rate Of Change: 6.16%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 62.00
Notes: Deaths are coming way down

Update May 18
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7529
Number of deaths: 1
New Cases: +49
7 Day Rate Of Change: 5.82
7 Day Ave New Cases: 59.14
Notes:
- Under 50 new cases for 2 days in a row
- 7 day average of new cases down to lowest since mid-March

Update May 19
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7582
Number of deaths: 6
New Cases: +53
7 Day Rate Of Change: 5.61%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 57.57
Notes: Super busy today...will have notes/charts tomorrow

Update May 20
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7617
Number of deaths: 1
New Cases: +35
7 Day Rate Of Change: 5.48%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 56.57
Notes: From yesterday, May 20...New Cases at 35 and Number of Deaths at 1, Great News!

Update May 21
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7645
Number of deaths: 4
New Cases: +28
7 Day Rate Of Change: 4.63%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 48.29
Notes:
- 28 New Cases! Lowest since I began following King County data on March 13.

- 7 Day Ave New Cases under 50!

Update May 21King Co WANumber of confirmed cases: 7645Number of deaths: 4New Cases: +287 Day Rate Of Change: 4.63%7 Day Ave New Cases: 48.29Notes: - 28 New Cases! Lowest since I began following King County data on March 13. - 7 Day Ave New Cases under 50!

Update May 22
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7697
Number of deaths: 3
New Cases: +52
7 Day Rate Of Change: 4.58%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 48.14
Notes: On the fly today...charts tomorrow

Update May 23
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7764
Number of new deaths: 1
New Cases: +67
7 Day Rate Of Change: 4.35%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 46.29
Notes:

Update May 24
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7819
Number of new deaths: 2
New Cases: +55
7 Day Rate Of Change: 4.53%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 48.43
Notes: 7 day deaths total at 20, down over 80% from April 10 (102).

Update May 25
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7879
Number of new deaths: 2
New Cases: +60
7 Day Rate Of Change: 4.65%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 50.00
Notes: New cases bumping up very slightly last few days. New deaths staying low.

Update May 26
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7896
Number of new deaths: 2
New Cases: +17

7 Day Rate Of Change: 4.14%
7 Day Ave New Cases: 44.86
Notes: Great Day in Seattle Area: only 17 New Cases! Lowest number of new cases since I began keeping track on March 13.

Update May 26King Co WANumber of confirmed cases: 7896Number of new deaths: 2New Cases: +17 7 Day Rate Of Change: 4.14%7 Day Ave New Cases: 44.86Notes: Great Day in Seattle Area: only 17 New Cases! Lowest number of new cases since I began keeping track on March 13.

We have to go all the way back to the first week of March to get New Cases as low as today’s +17.

Slowly snuffing out the embers of a previously raging campfire.

Update May 27
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7931
Number of new deaths: 5
New Cases: +35
14 Day Total New Cases: 710
Notes: Added a new chart, 14 day new cases: 710

Update May 28
King Co WA
Number of confirmed cases: 7986
Number of new deaths: +3
New Cases: +55
14 Day Total New Cases: 679
Notes: Another day, same glide path

Update May 29
King Co WA
Confirmed Cases: 8006
New Cases: +29
Deaths: +2
Notes: 50 new cases area (+/-) used to be the floor, now it’s the ceiling.

Update: May 31 (sent on June 1)
King County, WA
Confirmed Cases: 8159
New Cases: +105
Deaths: 557 +1
Notes: New cases jumping to +105 for the day

Update: June 1
King County WA
Confirmed Cases: 8192
New Cases: +33
Deaths: 557 +0
Notes: Zero deaths today. Extremely low +33 new cases.

Update June 2
King County WA
Confirmed Cases: 8235
New Cases: +50
Deaths: 560 +3
14 Day New Cases: 653

“Inslee issues Safe Start proclamation for county approach to re-opening
The proclamation is effective June 1”

https://medium.com/wagovernor/inslee-issues-safe-start-proclamation-for-county-approach-to-re-opening-d479030c23e6

Update June 3
King County WA
New Cases: 8277 +42
Deaths: 562 +2
Notes: Due to business time constraints I will have a full update tomorrow

Update June 4
King Co WA
New Cases: 8333 +56
Deaths: 564 +2
7 Day Death Total: 15 (lowest since 3/14 began tracking)
14 Day New Cases: 688

Update June 5
King County WA
New Cases: 8396 +63
Total Tested: 104,088 +1551
Hospitalizations: 1480 +5
Deaths: 566 +2
Notes: King County added Total Tested and Hospitalizations to it’s dashboard, they revamped their dashboard after I posted yesterday.

June 6
King County WA
New Cases: 8422 +26
Deaths: 566 +0
Tested: 105,051 +963
Hospitalizations: 1483 +3
Notes: King county didn’t update until this morning, which is the reason for the late post.
Deaths down dramatically. Note the divergence on the 7 day Rate Of Change.

Last week King County changed the format of their website...

Looking at both hospitalizations and new cases, it tells the exact same story. The Covid-19 virus peaked in a two week period from last week of March thru first week of May.

June 7
King County WA
New Cases: 8465 +43
Deaths: 566 +0
Tested: 106,204 +1153
Hospitalizations: 1484 +1
14 Day New Cases: 646
Notes: Two days in a row with 0 deaths. Only 1 hospitalization.

Interesting feature on the new King County website...
Covid-19 rates over time, like time-lapse photography.
1/2

Note the Geographical area of zero cases for the most recent data (last graph)

King County
Age Groups:
60-69: All Test Results 14,616 => POS Cases 1150 => Hospitalizations 311 => Deaths 74

70-79: All Test Results 8752 => POS Cases 681 => Hospitalizations 285 => Deaths 134

80-89: All Test Results 5921 => POS Cases 832 => Hospitalizations 372 => Deaths 304

June 8, 2020
King County WA
New Cases: 42
Deaths: 1
Hospitalizations: 5
Notes: I’m adding some new data from King County’s updated website, it’s going a bit slow (manual entry, lazy worker) but should be ready with some new graphs by the end of the week.

June 9, 2020
King County WA
New cases: 29
Deaths: 3
Hospitalizations: 10
Notes: time for bed

June 10, 2020
King County, WA (not counting CHAZ)
New Cases: 23
Deaths: 0
Hospitalizations: 6
Notes: not much to add tonight. New cases are now very consistently under 50. I should have Total Tested numbers done by Friday, then I’ll work on adding Hospitalizations soon after.

I added the Total Tested Data this morning. Then took a 14 day rolling total for Total Tested as a Denominator/14 day rolling total for New Cases to come up with a form of an Infection Rate for those tested.
Peak Rate: 12.50% April 14.
Current Rate: 3.24% June 10.

Should have clarified: 14 Day rolling total New Cases (Numerator)/14 Day Rolling total Total Tested (Denominator)

June 11, 2020
King County, WA
New Cases: 25
Deaths: 1
Tested: 1462
14 Day “Infection Rate” (amongst those tested): 3.15%
14 Day New Cases: 607 Lowest since I began keeping the data on March 13.
New Hospitalizations: 7
Notes: Added a 14 Day “Infection Rate”, see Tweet above

June 12, 2020
King County WA
New Cases: 60
Deaths: 0*
Hospitalizations: 1,517
Tested: 2,263
Infection Rate 1 Day: 3.95%
Infection Rate 14 Day: 3.02%*
7 Day Death Total: 7*
*lowest number since I began tracking data on March 13

June 13, 2020
King County WA
New cases: 56
Total Tested: 2081
Daily Infection Rate: 2.69%
Deaths: 3
Hospitalizations: 1518 +1
Notes: Number of Total Tested two days in a row over 2000, 3 out of last 6 days over 2000, never had total tests over 2,000 per day until June 8.

June 14, 2020
King County WA
New Cases: 51
Total Tested: 6,411
Deaths: 0
Hospitalizations: 2
Notes: Hard to believe my eyes, but King County is reporting 6,411 Total Tested in the last 24 hours with only 51 new positive cases. Included a screenshot to verify.

King County
Covid-19
Age Distribution Charts

June 15, 2020
King County, WA
New Cases: 46
Tested: 1815
Deaths: 0
Hospitalizations: 1
Notes: Very strange. If you look at the first screenshot, you see that the total tested for yesterday appear to be significantly revised down from 6,411 (see yesterday’s screenshot) to 1628.

June 16, 2020
King County, WA
New Cases: 58
Tested: 2293
Deaths: 2
Hospitalizations: 11
14 Day New Cases: 620
Notes: I went back and adjusted the June 14 Total Tested to 1701 to match King County adjusting their data.

June 17, 2020
King County, WA
New Cases: +38
Tested: 2738 *most tested in data set
Deaths: -1 (Lazarus improved)
Hospitalizations: -1 (Lazarus released early)
14 Day New Cases: 616
Notes: There were some data adjustments today in Deaths and Hospitalizations.

June 18, 2020
King County WA
New Cases: 94
Tested: 4649
Positive Rate: 2.02%
Deaths: 582 +7
Hospitalizations: 1537 +6
14 Day New Cases: 654
Notes: Big jump in total tested (4649). New positive cases jumps to 94. Positive test rate stays in same range at 2.02%.

It is worth noting that 377 deaths out of 582 total, or 64.77% have come from Nursing Homes/Assisted Living.

Put another way, there have been 521 total deaths in the age group 60 and above. 72% of those deaths have come from Nursing Homes/Assisted Living facilities.

Additionally...nearly every Key Indicator, as defined by King County is at or better than the respective target.

June 19, 2020
King County WA
New cases: 109
Tested: 2309
Deaths: 2
Hospitalizations: 3
Notes: first time since May 31 that we’ve had over 100 new cases. Pretty big jump in the Positive/Total Tested Rate From 2.02% yesterday to 4.72% today.

June 20,2020
King County WA
New Cases: 69
Tested: 3582
Deaths: 1
Hospitalizations: 0
Daily Positive Rate: 1.93%
Notes:

June 21, 2020
King County, WA
New Cases: 69
Tested: 580
Hospitalizations: 1
Deaths: -1
Notes: King County adjusted the death count. Also, interesting that number of total tested move from all time high of 3582 yesterday to 580 today...the numbers seem to bounce around on weekends

June 22, 2020
King County WA
New Cases: 39
Tested: 3157
Hospitalizations: 6
Deaths: 0
Notes: with all the headlines of a resurgence nationally, not showing up in King County. 14 Day new cases/tested rate: 2.36%

June 23, 2020
King County WA
Tested: 3267
Positive: 96
Positive Rate: 2.94%
14 Day Positive Rate: 2.43%
Hospitalizations: 3
Deaths: 0
Notes: deaths, hospitalizations consistently down. The rate for positive tests consistently low in the 2-3% range. Testing is way up.

June 24, 2020
King County, WA
Tested: 2198
Positive: 133
Positive Rate (Daily): 6.05%
Positive Rate (14 Day): 2.69%
Hospitalizations: 5
Deaths: -1
Notes: Seeing a rise in positive rate with the 14 day at 2.69%.
Not seeing rise in hospitalizations or deaths

June 25, 2020
King County WA
Tested: 3409
Positive: 110
Hospitalizations: 6
Deaths: 2
Note: 7 Day Death total in King Co is 3, the lowest since Virus hit big in early March. Daily positive testing rate steady, despite higher number of tests.

June 26, 2020
King County WA
Tested: 2,354
Positive: 83
Hospitalizations: 3
Deaths: 1
Notes: Using 14 day numbers, the ENTIRE increase in positive tests in King County is due to an increase in testing. The RATE of positives tests has not budged, June 14: 2.72%, June 26: 2.75%

June 27, 2020. 1:14PM
King County Update
I updated my database for hospitalizations, which now allows me to present a concept worth considering.

Variables from King County
1. Daily Total Tests
2. Daily Positive Tests
3. Daily Hospitalizations
4. Daily Deaths
(Cont)

In order to smooth out daily fluctuations, I’ve chosen to use 14 Day Data to present this idea...So we have:
14 Day Total Total Tests
14 Day Total Positive Tests
14 Day Total Hospitalizations
14 Day Total Deaths
Call This A Funnel Concept (like a sales funnel)

What is the “Conversion Rate”?
And how has that “conversion rate” changed over time?

April 5th: we had a 14 Day Positive Cases to 14 Day Total Tests Rate of 13.78%, or 1 out of 7.26 tests came back positive

June 26: 14 Day Positive Cases to 14 Day Total Tests Rate of 2.50%, or 1 out of 40 tests came back positive

This is an improvement of 81.86%.

14 Day Hospitalization Rate
Peak March 13: 5.76% or
1 Out of 17.36 people that got tested ended up going to the hospital

June 26: 0.14% rate, or
1 out of 714.28 people tested went to the hospital

14 Day Death Rate
Peak Mar 13: 1.1686% rate or
1 out of 85.57 people tested died
June 26: 0.0221% rate or
1 out of 4524.88 people tested died
A 98.11% Decline

June 27, 2020
King County Update
Tested: 1764
Positive Tests: 125
14 Day Positive Rate: 2.77%
Hospitalizations: 10
14 Day Hospitalization Rate: 0.16%
Deaths: 0
14 Day Death Rate: 0.0195%

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