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#COVID19
Facts so far.
1. Once a country is infected, many other countries stop flights to them. But then some still ply flights and it's always possible that through that country even the non flight operating country can be infected.
2. The virus has a 14 day incubation
1/n
Facts so far.
1. Once a country is infected, many other countries stop flights to them. But then some still ply flights and it's always possible that through that country even the non flight operating country can be infected.
2. The virus has a 14 day incubation
1/n
3. Even the asymptomatic carriers infect others.
4. If sufficient medical care is received early on, fatality rate is less
5. Virus spreads http://v.fast especially through aerosol in enclosed spaces.
6. False negatives have been reported in tests.
2/n
4. If sufficient medical care is received early on, fatality rate is less
5. Virus spreads http://v.fast especially through aerosol in enclosed spaces.
6. False negatives have been reported in tests.
2/n
7. Outbreaks invariably result in lockdown of cities and Shutdown of all business and social activities which are v.expensive
8. The response needs to be both global and local. Global from containment perspective and local from containment and treatment perspective
3/n
8. The response needs to be both global and local. Global from containment perspective and local from containment and treatment perspective
3/n
Given these facts, consider below approach.
1. All global human travel is stopped for a period of 3-4 weeks. Only cargo travel is allowed to enable essential goods transportation with strict protocols for crew to preempt spreading.
4/n
1. All global human travel is stopped for a period of 3-4 weeks. Only cargo travel is allowed to enable essential goods transportation with strict protocols for crew to preempt spreading.
4/n
2. To contain spread within country/region, a similar 'ban on non-essential travel' to be implemented, to the extent possible by all Govts.
3. Every person we interact with to be treated as a potential carrier and all possible care to be taken by each person not to contract.
5/n
3. Every person we interact with to be treated as a potential carrier and all possible care to be taken by each person not to contract.
5/n
4. Extensive awareness programmes on point 2 and 3 to be done by all Govt (even where there is no outbreak - as we don't know if any asymptomatic carrier is there in the population) in their respective countries.
6/n
6/n
5. All hospitals to be educated in advance about the protocol in case of an outbreak, and preferably a global network with shared database (preferably with telemedicine) to be quickly established. (Looks grandiose but possible. A web application can be rolled out in a week)
7/n
7/n
6. Global situation to be reviewed after this 3 week period and then travel restrictions to be removed.
7. Govts and the wealthy have to take the economic cost for this whole exercise with as little impact for the vulnerable as possible.
8/n
7. Govts and the wealthy have to take the economic cost for this whole exercise with as little impact for the vulnerable as possible.
8/n
8. Above are just broad thoughts and many details have to be worked out, in the spirit of a shared destiny and eschewing petty selfish considerations.
Each one has to just remember that a dead man can't enjoy anything and one can't get clever and seek an unjust benefit.
9/n
Each one has to just remember that a dead man can't enjoy anything and one can't get clever and seek an unjust benefit.
9/n
