How BJP helped Sena win 56 seats

Assembly 2019 Lok Sabha 2019
1. Chopda - BJP MP constituency
2. Jalgaon rural - BJP MP
3. Erandol- BJP MP
4. Pachora- Modi wave in 2014 helped SS to widen gap bet SS & NCP by 16%
5. Mehkar- SS Vs NCP gap increased by 16% after 2014
6. Akola - BJP MP is very strong
7. Digras- Shiv Sena stronghold but lots of Marwaris and Gujjus. Local MLA is a Rathod
8 . Vaijapur- Its a Hindutva polarization due to MIM MP.BJP provides big support
9. Nanded North- Shiv Sena had just 12% vote share and BJP had 18% in 2014
10. Hingoli- Birth place of Nanaji Deshmukh. RSS is very strong in Nanded,Parbhani Beed&Hingoli. In Aug 2019, communal violence were reported during EID. stones were pelted at vehicles of Shiv Sena leaders
11. Parbhani- RSS backyard . Shiv Sena leader defeated a Muslim candidate
Parbhani witness communal clashes in July 2019 due to an eve teasing incidents. 400 ppl were arrested
12. Sillod- Shiv Sena took a Muslim INC candidate
13. Kannad- BJP transferred its 14% votes to SS
14. Aurangabad Cent- Last time MIM Jaleel won bcos of split in BJP-SS votes
But this time BJP transferred its full 21% votes to SS
It was pure Hindutva at play
15. Aurangabad West- BJP Transferred its 15% votes to SS
16. Paithan- Again a communal hotbed. BJP transferred its vote share
Read this to know how SS gained from riots https://www.jstor.org/stable/4378605?seq=1
17. Nandgaon- Pankaj Bujbal(Relative of Chagan Bujbal) of NCP won last time. BJP transferred its 24% votes to Shiv Sena
18.Malegoan Outer- Communally sensitive. BJP transferred its 23% votes
19.Vaijapur- Last time NCP candidate beat SS candidate by 5000 votes. BJP transferred 10%
20. Palghar- Shiv Sena scraped thru last time in 2014 assembly . MP is from BJP . Udhav still nursing wounds from that defeat? Still BJP transferred its votes to SS
21. Bhiwandi rural- BJP stronghold as BJP won this three times before 2014. Sitting Sena MLA. MNS also strong here
22. Kalyan West- BJP had a sitting MLA but gave it to Shiv Sena and also transferred its votes. ITs a MNS stronghold too. Without BJP, SS would have faltered
23. Shiv Sena stronghold but in 2014, both BJP and SS had about 30% votes. SS was at 44% in 2009. Clearly overlapping
23 Ambernath Shiv Sena stronghold but in 2014, both BJP and SS had about 30% votes. SS was at 44% in 2009. Clearly overlapping
24. Owala - SS has a steady vote share of 36% both in 2009 and 2014. BJP had 30% in 2014. This SS vote share jumped from 36 to 60%. 100% vote transfer
You can follow @girishs2.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled: