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WA has analysed the findings from the #MRPpoll, which have interesting implications for our constituency profiles. Let’s take a look at how things may be changing as we head ever closer towards #GE2019 
. https://wacomms.co.uk/general-election-2019-this-time-its-personal/
. https://wacomms.co.uk/general-election-2019-this-time-its-personal/
CELEBRITY SCALPS
This election will see ZERO "Portillo Moments" according to the MRP poll. The closest to an upset is Theresa Villiers (Chipping Barnet), who is neck and neck with Labour on 41%. Don’t buy the popcorn just yet.
This election will see ZERO "Portillo Moments" according to the MRP poll. The closest to an upset is Theresa Villiers (Chipping Barnet), who is neck and neck with Labour on 41%. Don’t buy the popcorn just yet.
EASY PICKINGS
The MRP data shows the Tories getting their big targets of Newcastle-under-Lyme (with 48% of the vote) and Dudley North (46%) from Labour, while the SNP are predicted to build on their massive majority of *two* in North East Fife.
The MRP data shows the Tories getting their big targets of Newcastle-under-Lyme (with 48% of the vote) and Dudley North (46%) from Labour, while the SNP are predicted to build on their massive majority of *two* in North East Fife.
REMAINIACS
Bad news for the ‘Stop Brexit’ mob, as the Lib Dems aren’t predicted to win any of the key Remain seats which voted for them this May! Not even in Vauxhall (80% Remain)…..
Bad news for the ‘Stop Brexit’ mob, as the Lib Dems aren’t predicted to win any of the key Remain seats which voted for them this May! Not even in Vauxhall (80% Remain)…..
REGULAR SWINGERS
are not swinging. Not much to add here. The MRP has Portsmouth South, Aberdeen South, and Berwickshire, Roxborough and Selkirk all staying the same as 2017.
are not swinging. Not much to add here. The MRP has Portsmouth South, Aberdeen South, and Berwickshire, Roxborough and Selkirk all staying the same as 2017.
FIRST TIMERS
Three of our first timer seats are predicted to change hands: Bassetlaw (44% CON), Stoke-on-Trent North (42%) and Bolsover (42%) – which would be turning blue for the first ever time.
Three of our first timer seats are predicted to change hands: Bassetlaw (44% CON), Stoke-on-Trent North (42%) and Bolsover (42%) – which would be turning blue for the first ever time.
MARRIAGES OF CONVENIENCE
The Unite to Remain marriage could see gains in Richmond Park (Lib Dem), and a hold in Arfon (Plaid Cymru). Meanwhile, the Brexit Party withdrawal in key seats such as North Devon and Torbay should help the Tories hold on.
The Unite to Remain marriage could see gains in Richmond Park (Lib Dem), and a hold in Arfon (Plaid Cymru). Meanwhile, the Brexit Party withdrawal in key seats such as North Devon and Torbay should help the Tories hold on.
FREE THINKERS
It’s notoriously difficult for independents to win, no matter how popular and remainer-y (yes you, Grieve) they are. The MRP has them all losing, including Grieve and Soubry. Not all gambles pay off.
It’s notoriously difficult for independents to win, no matter how popular and remainer-y (yes you, Grieve) they are. The MRP has them all losing, including Grieve and Soubry. Not all gambles pay off.
