Nate spent ages arguing that Dem leaders supporting impeachment wouldn’t swing the polls, so now he’s stuck making increasingly ridiculous arguments that the totally stable polling represents the public reacting to the facts of the case in some fashion

My favorite manifestation of this is how the 538 impeachment tracker arbitrarily labels “news about Ukraine snowballs” as a discrete event, but not Pelosi announcing her support on Sept. 26th, despite it being, um, rather noticeable on the graph

In conclusion his theories about what’s driving the politics here are all broken and you should listen to people with a better track record on this question

Why, yes, if political leaders are driving public opinion, it does rather call into question Democratic leadership’s abundance of caution over confronting Trump https://twitter.com/gallagdy/status/1199411653852434433?s=21