Fascinating couple of days in Home Counties. Safe *safe* Tory seats in Surrey and Hampshire...

-numbers who say they’ve been “politicised/radicalised” by the Brexit process (rather than Brexit itself) extraordinary.
-Think Tories really do have a LibDem problem in south east which national polls not revealing.
-Lots of lifelong Tories not voting Con for first time.

-But problem isn’t confined to Brexit. We hear a lot about Labour voters who aren’t voting Lab because of Corbyn. But not much about Tories not voting Tory because of Boris Johnson. But there are a lot here.

-Especially older women

-“buffoon” is the word you hear repeatedly

-Obviously Tory support is very solid in many of these places.
-But I wouldn’t be surprised if we see some Lib Dem upsets in south east.
-big majorities will tumble at least
-and Lib Dems hopeful it will put them firmly back in the game next time (which could be soon)

-what is notable is how many Conservatives felt they could vote Tory in 2017, even after Brexit was assumed to be a fact, who don’t feel they can now.
-connected with change of leadership/change of direction/abandonment of much attempt at party balance, as Cameron and May tried.

And nowwwwww...we edit the piece