UNEP 2019 Gap Report shows we are moving in the wrong direction with respect to climate change. Current policy puts on a trajectory to 60 gigatons of carbon dioxide equivalent in 2030 when we need to be around 41 to have a decent chance of staying under 2C target.

Last year, the 2018 report suggested that we would likely be around 59 gigatons in 2030.

2017 report was about 59 and 2016 report was 59.4

2015 report was around 60 gigatons in 2030.

The range of values for 2019 is now 58 to 64 gigatons in 2030 whereas 2018 was 56 to 60. Since 2015, we don't appear to have made any appreciable progress towards meeting our collective goals with a number of major polities like the US moving in the wrong direction.

Big uncertainty for me is what happens in China given that it is responsible for 27% of global emissions. Will China meet its 2030 target to peak emissions or do it sooner? Or, is the recent upswing in emissions a harbinger of more bad things to come?

Report link. https://www.unenvironment.org/interactive/emissions-gap-report/2019/