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So far this year, 1.2 million more people have registered to vote than during the run up to the 2017 General Election campaign.
On the face of it, you'd think this could favour Labour. But does it?
A thread, with charts:
On the face of it, you'd think this could favour Labour. But does it?
A thread, with charts:
Applications to register by young people (under-25s) have outpaced the rate during pretty much the whole of the run-up to the 2017 General Election.
In total there have been more than 1.3 million registration applications by young people, far outstripping any other age group. It's nearly half a million more applications than last year.
But. But but but...
While the youngest age group accounts for more a third of applications.
That is about the same proportion as they accounted for at the 2017 election.
While the youngest age group accounts for more a third of applications.
That is about the same proportion as they accounted for at the 2017 election.
There has been a fall in the share of those applying to vote among the 25-34 age group, who now account for just under 30% of applications, compared to more than 33% in 2017.
This group was seen by experts as key to Labour's result in 2017.
This group was seen by experts as key to Labour's result in 2017.
So the number of applications by young people has to be seen in the context of a boost to overall applications overall, and an increase in the proportion of applications by older voters.
In other words, maybe not as helpful for Labour as it first appears.
In other words, maybe not as helpful for Labour as it first appears.
Important caveat: in 2017 37% of applications to register were duplicates, so expect something similar this year.
Reminder: if you've not yet registered to vote, you can do it here until 23:59 tonight: https://www.gov.uk/register-to-vote
